RAFAELRAMOS

Polymarket wallet 0xd42f539a120afaa8f7bc07c383f01fd2c7acbcb7 · on Polymarket since Oct 12, 2025 · also shown as Ill-Fated-Friction

Open on Polymarket ↗

good

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$490
Volume traded: $62.8K
All-time rank: #2,949,921
Markets traded: 134
Recent hit rate: 98%49 of last 50 closed

Open positions

68 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	498	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: O/U 167.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	5	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	505	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$253 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	506	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$253 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	498	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	505	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$253 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	13	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	950	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$475 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	496	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$248 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Yandex (BO1)Settled - ready to redeem	Heroic	5	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	512	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$256 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	498	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	496	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$248 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	501	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$251 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	505	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$253 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	491	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$246 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	498	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	489	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$245 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	14	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	498	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	14	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	497	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	505	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$253 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	497	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	498	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	499	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Pistons vs. CelticsSettled - ready to redeem	Pistons	5	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	493	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$247 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	13	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Sabres vs. PenguinsSettled - ready to redeem	Sabres	5	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	493	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$247 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	498	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	496	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$248 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,050	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$525 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	485	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$243 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$750 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	750	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$375 −100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)Settled - ready to redeem	NRG	5	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	503	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$252 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem	CA Lanús	5	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	494	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$247 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	505	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$258 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	496	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$248 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,300	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$650 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	510	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$255 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	532	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$266 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	491	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$246 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	950	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$475 −100%
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)Settled - ready to redeem	Karmine Corp GC	5	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	505	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$253 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	497	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	490	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$245 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	502	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$251 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	480	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$240 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	498	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	800	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	496	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$248 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	496	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$248 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	498	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$249 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	495	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$248 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
306d	Will Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?	SellYes70¢	$1
311d	Will Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?	BuyYes97¢	$1
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$490
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$498
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$248
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$253
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$245
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$253
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$248
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$256
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$13
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$247
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$236
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$249
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$247
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$248
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$249
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$249
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$258
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$39
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$247
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$210
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$199
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$49
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$253
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$243
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$248
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$249
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$266
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$112
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$247
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$134
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$249
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$253
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$245
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$248
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$12
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$245
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$249
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$235
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$248
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$260
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$5
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$241
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$241
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$249
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$248
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyDown51¢	$258
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$10
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$237
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$249
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$246
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$249
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$220
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$240
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$246
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$297
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$247
311d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$252
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$249

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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