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Polymarket wallet 0xd4ceb7b0d45ca629cdfeb531600b0fe02a4cae46 · on Polymarket since Apr 2, 2026 · also shown as Muddy-Condor
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$1 +30% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 105 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,164 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BuyUp7¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BuyUp93¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BuyDown58¢ | $2 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BuyDown83¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BuyDown64¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BuyDown87¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BuyDown85¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BuyDown49¢ | $5 |
| 37d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.