Milksheen

Polymarket wallet 0xd8726283468c86fdb22755db72774a6c58fedfae · on Polymarket since Sep 15, 2026 · also shown as Fickle-Saxophone-Appetite

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $30.6K
All-time profit: +$85.1
Volume traded: $114K
All-time rank: #251,648
Markets traded: 93
Recent hit rate: 62%31 of last 50 closed

Open positions

20 markets · $30.6K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d	Yes	7,153	83¢ → 92¢	$6,545	+$587 +9.8%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d	Yes	9,240	71¢ → 66¢	$6,052	−$538 −8.2%
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	No	4,426	77¢ → 90¢	$3,983	+$555 +16%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 75d	Yes	4,663	75¢ → 85¢	$3,959	+$467 +13%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d	Yes	3,854	88¢ → 93¢	$3,584	+$205 +6.1%
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d	No	2,719	62¢ → 81¢	$2,189	+$509 +30%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 75d	Yes	2,223	37¢ → 51¢	$1,123	+$307 +38%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	No	749	64¢ → 82¢	$615	+$137 +29%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d	Yes	354	76¢ → 98¢	$348	+$78 +29%
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	No	321	85¢ → 94¢	$302	+$29 +11%
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	No	331	64¢ → 83¢	$273	+$60 +28%
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	289	89¢ → 91¢	$261	+$4 +1.7%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d	No	248	71¢ → 93¢	$230	+$54 +31%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d	Yes	275	68¢ → 80¢	$220	+$33 +18%
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	239	83¢ → 86¢	$204	+$7 +3.4%
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	240	66¢ → 77¢	$185	+$27 +17%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d	Yes	505	45¢ → 36¢	$179	−$48 −21%
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	188	88¢ → 94¢	$176	+$11 +6.4%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 256d	Yes	88	87¢ → 99¢	$88	+$11 +14%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d	Yes	328	19¢ → 16¢	$51	−$11 −18%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
3h	Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo75¢	$15
3h	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes86¢	$181
3h	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo88¢	$62
3h	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	BuyYes42¢	$278
3h	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	BuyYes80¢	$96
3h	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes78¢	$82
3h	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes85¢	$86
3h	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes86¢	$181
3h	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes71¢	$1,630
3h	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes70¢	$20
3h	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes85¢	$187
8h	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes97¢	$35
8h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	SellYes73¢	$34
9h	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes97¢	$68
9h	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes97¢	$45
18h	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes71¢	$14
18h	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes65¢	$26
18h	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$113
1d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes84¢	$127
1d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes71¢	$25
1d	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	BuyYes77¢	$55
1d	Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo89¢	$89
1d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes71¢	$161
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$190
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$115
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$95
1d	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo72¢	$15
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$95
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$95
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$19
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$130
1d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes71¢	$4
1d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes71¢	$47
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?	BuyYes96¢	$216
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes93¢	$290
1d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes70¢	$4
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes92¢	$28
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes93¢	$341
1d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes66¢	$37
1d	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo55¢	$82
1d	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	SellYes46¢	$26
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$19
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$15
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$135
1d	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	BuyYes41¢	$8
1d	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 15, 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$9
1d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes77¢	$39
1d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes92¢	$16
2d	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	SellYes45¢	$13
2d	Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo66¢	$13
2d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes71¢	$36
2d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes89¢	$141
2d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes72¢	$146
2d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes90¢	$7
2d	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes90¢	$109
2d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes72¢	$209
2d	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes63¢	$38
2d	Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo85¢	$95
2d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes86¢	$908
2d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes86¢	$333

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.