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Polymarket wallet 0xda1786bbf0cafcbb8391a29ca3e1e8ad44d38242 · on Polymarket since Feb 20, 2026 · also shown as Strict-Bench
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$5 +104% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 43¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +133% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BuyYes10¢ | $5 |
| 234d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BuyDown48¢ | $2 |
| 234d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BuyDown48¢ | $1 |
| 234d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BuyDown30¢ | $2 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $2 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $2 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BuyUp48¢ | $2 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BuyDown43¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BuyDown43¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BuyUp42¢ | $2 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.