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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI browser by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +108% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3)Settled - ready to redeem | Team Spirit | 1 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 35 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 359d | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) | BuyTeam Spirit80¢ | $1 |
| 362d | OpenAI browser by October 31? | BuyYes48¢ | $1 |
| 362d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyYes84¢ | $1 |
| 362d | Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025? | BuyYes10¢ | $1 |
| 362d | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 362d | Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 362d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 20? | BuyNo3¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.