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Polymarket wallet 0xe495f596819a0554bd35cfa548ce5de04b01c165 · on Polymarket since Feb 8, 2025 · also shown as Growling-Insectarium
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Ends in 42d | Yes | 3,900 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $3,785 | +$163 +4.5% |
| Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 8 | 18¢ → 51¢ | $4 | +$2 +183% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,691 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$464 −100% |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$352 −100% |
| Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,718 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$680 −100% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.