| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 57¢ → 53¢ | $11 | −$1 −7.9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 20 | 32¢ → 35¢ | $7 | +$1 +9.4% |
| Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $20 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 43¢ → 34¢ | $7 | −$2 −21% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 60 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 18 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 59 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 45 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 45 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 37 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 60 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 45 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 45 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 23 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 45 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 26 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 28 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 70 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 59 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 45 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 59 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 125 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 22 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 56 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 45 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 44 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 46 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 60 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 18 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 46 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 26 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
