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Polymarket wallet 0xe7cf5cfa97f762f5b61e3e33fd4a5f947499651e · on Polymarket since Oct 9, 2025 · also shown as Determined-Mercury
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 34,810 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17,405 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17,000 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8,500 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17,820 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8,910 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $17,405 |
| 370d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $8,910 |
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $8,500 |
| 372d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $134 |
| 372d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $20 |
| 372d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $15 |
| 372d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $15 |
| 372d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $15 |
| 372d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $10 |
| 372d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $15 |
| 372d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $20 |
| 372d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $10 |
| 372d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $10 |
| 372d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.