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Polymarket wallet 0xe873f94de3711cc630f25209c4fddd346051e652 · on Polymarket since Oct 20, 2025 · also shown as Leading-Inflation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 76,107 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15,000 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,248 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 367,380 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,093 −100% |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 829 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,106 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94d | Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina? | BuyYes4¢ | $34 |
| 127d | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes2¢ | $3,185 |
| 128d | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes2¢ | $4,118 |
| 128d | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BuyYes70¢ | $2,018 |
| 128d | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | SellNo98¢ | $36,485 |
| 231d | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ | $35,853 |
| 326d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes20¢ | $5,000 |
| 354d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $100 |
| 361d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $500 |
| 361d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes20¢ | $5,000 |
| 361d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes19¢ | $5,000 |
| 362d | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyYes92¢ | $2,000 |
| 362d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 20? | BuyYes99¢ | $2,000 |
| 362d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ | $20,000 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.