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Polymarket wallet 0xef2d36dfb1c83c2b64baf306e0c9438271032a45 · on Polymarket since Sep 11, 2024 · also shown as Tedious-Outrage
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SellYes16¢ | $6,059 |
| 50d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes49¢ | $19,749 |
| 161d | UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves? | BuyYes14¢ | $1,026 |
| 161d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SellYes97¢ | $12,316 |
| 161d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SellYes97¢ | $1,347 |
| 165d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BuyYes96¢ | $13,527 |
| 310d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | SellYes>99¢ | $13,757 |
| 351d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes72¢ | $9,912 |
| 743d | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? | BuyYes29¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.