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Polymarket wallet 0xf587f0b184ccd579481aa0c0b0bdd5f22f8eb119 · on Polymarket since Jan 4, 2026 · also shown as Naive-Obstacle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | Yes | 893 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $754 | +$4 +0.6% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 96 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $76 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 517 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 64 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ | $75 |
| 7d | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BuyYes84¢ | $755 |
| 259d | Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more? | BuyNo1¢ | $7 |
| 286d | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? | BuyYes39¢ | $25 |
| 286d | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | BuyNo90¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.