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Polymarket wallet 0xfdb7be538affa8d33e7e66f1857830465b47e05c · on Polymarket since Mar 23, 2026 · also shown as Sizzling-Ephemeris
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 58 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 247 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$180 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BuyUp73¢ | $183 |
| 144d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | SellDown99¢ | $165 |
| 144d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BuyDown90¢ | $151 |
| 144d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | SellUp98¢ | $78 |
| 144d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BuyUp63¢ | $51 |
| 144d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | SellDown98¢ | $77 |
| 144d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BuyDown63¢ | $51 |
| 144d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BuyDown72¢ | $90 |
| 144d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BuyUp55¢ | $51 |
| 144d | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SellYes87¢ | $50 |
| 144d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BuyUp85¢ | $50 |
| 144d | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SellYes87¢ | $50 |
| 145d | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BuyYes82¢ | $96 |
| 145d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BuyUp63¢ | $26 |
| 146d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BuyDown79¢ | $97 |
| 146d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BuyUp42¢ | $44 |
| 146d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp69¢ | $100 |
| 146d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | SellUp95¢ | $100 |
| 146d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BuyUp76¢ | $28 |
| 146d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BuyUp72¢ | $51 |
| 146d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BuyUp71¢ | $57 |
| 154d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BuyUp85¢ | $36 |
| 154d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BuyDown63¢ | $26 |
| 154d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BuyUp78¢ | $25 |
| 154d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SellUp65¢ | $55 |
| 154d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $47 |
| 154d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | SellDown80¢ | $31 |
| 154d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BuyDown64¢ | $26 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BuyDown83¢ | $25 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BuyDown69¢ | $26 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | SellUp11¢ | $15 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BuyUp25¢ | $26 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BuyUp55¢ | $26 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | SellDown91¢ | $42 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BuyDown53¢ | $26 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | SellDown86¢ | $73 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BuyDown60¢ | $26 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BuyDown58¢ | $26 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $50 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SellUp97¢ | $49 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BuyUp91¢ | $46 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BuyUp59¢ | $48 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BuyDown90¢ | $42 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | SellUp52¢ | $44 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BuyUp76¢ | $67 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | SellUp98¢ | $66 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BuyUp85¢ | $58 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BuyDown85¢ | $50 |
| 156d | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SellNo93¢ | $126 |
| 156d | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BuyNo93¢ | $26 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BuyUp65¢ | $102 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SellUp97¢ | $0 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SellUp95¢ | $2 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SellUp95¢ | $2 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SellUp95¢ | $42 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SellUp95¢ | $20 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SellUp95¢ | $5 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SellUp95¢ | $5 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SellUp95¢ | $5 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SellUp95¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.