Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 767d |  pocahontasporker2 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,595 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 767d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes>99¢ | $56,750 | +$83 +0.1% | 4 |
| 767d |  carp | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,092 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 767d |  nanunanu | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,849 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 767d | pocahontasporker7 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $27,113 | +$377 +1.4% | 4 |
| 767d | Gernitrom | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,339 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 767d |  tsybka | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,109 | +$22 +0.2% | 4 |
| 767d |  AgricultureSecretary | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,346 | +$37 +0.2% | 4 |
| 767d | willy-wonka | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $40,486 | +$317 +0.8% | 4 |
| 767d |  Dropper | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,533 | +$73 +1.1% | 4 |
| 767d | squirrel-farmer | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | +$26 +1.3% | 4 |
| 767d | KingPinguin2 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,120 | +$35 +1.1% | 4 |
| 767d |  50Whence6 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $97,190 | +$1,386 +1.4% | 4 |
| 767d |  aenews212 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $128,936 | +$6,569 +5.1% | 4 |
| 768d | anon15654 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $89,505 | −$1,665 −1.9% | — |
| 768d | 0xfe91…70ff | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,955 | −$45 −0.9% | — |
| 768d | aenews24 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,783 | −$285 −1.3% | — |
| 768d | omi | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,948 | −$50 −1.0% | — |
| 768d | omi | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,955 | +$45 +0.9% | 4 |
| 768d | Decap-092 | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,068 | +$245 +1.6% | 4 |
| 768d |  BigMike118 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $92,587 | +$3,547 +3.8% | 4 |
| 768d | analord2 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyNo2¢ → 0¢ | $3,205 | −$3,205 −100% | 13 |
| 768d |  mango-lassi | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,255 | +$33 +1.0% | 4 |
| 769d | junkbonds10 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $65,803 | +$6,539 +9.9% | 4 |
| 769d |  RememberAmalek | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $28,807 | +$351 +1.2% | 4 |
| 769d |  Gnarls | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyNo1¢ → 0¢ | $2,761 | −$2,761 −100% | 12 |
| 769d |  gopfan24 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $33,938 | −$646 −1.9% | — |
| 770d | Nonstop-Disclosure | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,689 | −$47 −1.7% | — |
| 770d | OysterFarm | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | −$32 −1.6% | — |
| 770d | lesse | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | −$28 −1.6% | — |
| 770d | Steep-Public2 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,817 | +$82 +2.1% | 4 |
| 771d | junkbonds | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,958 | −$42 −1.4% | — |
| 771d |  ANudeEgg | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,956 | +$44 +1.1% | 4 |
| 771d | therealbatman2 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $92,387 | +$945 +1.0% | 4 |
| 771d |  tjrick | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,908 | +$42 +1.4% | 4 |
| 771d |  kingsirpredictionconnoisseur | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,749 | −$48 −1.7% | — |
| 772d | bluejay | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,146 | −$131 −1.8% | — |
| 772d |  RockyZet | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $26,606 | −$350 −1.3% | — |
| 772d | unscented-nerd - 53862 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $21,266 | −$438 −2.1% | — |
| 773d | RD295 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $24,737 | +$731 +3.0% | 5 |
| 773d | RockyZet2 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,514 | +$314 +3.0% | 4 |
| 773d | Taut-ComicNew account | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | −$40 −3.0% | — |
| 773d | Taut-ComicNew account | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | +$33 +2.4% | 5 |
| 773d | whyyi | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,559 | +$248 +2.1% | 4 |
| 774d |  aebonds2 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $60,891 | +$1,926 +3.2% | 4 |
| 774d |  TimeQuestion | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $29,130 | +$870 +3.0% | 4 |
| 774d |  WindWalk33 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyNo6¢ → 0¢ | $12,319 | −$12,319 −100% | 23 |
| 774d | pretzel2 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $15,499 | +$431 +2.8% | 4 |
| 774d | lasso | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $30,112 | +$963 +3.2% | 4 |
| 774d | Pragmata3 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $8,156 | +$344 +4.2% | 5 |
| 774d | gopfan23 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $19,537 | +$2,278 +12% | 4 |
| 774d | carp | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $11,691 | −$548 −4.7% | — |
| 778d | unscented-nerd - 53862 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $21,011 | +$692 +3.3% | 5 |
| 779d |  dreamer | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | −$116 −7.5% | — |
| 780d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$132 +7.5% | 4 |
| 780d | bluejay | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | +$161 +9.9% | 5 |
| 781d | anon15652 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,710 | +$315 +12% | 5 |
| 781d | Nonstop-Disclosure | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,462 | +$274 +11% | 6 |
| 781d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly4 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | BuyNo13¢ → 0¢ | $14,497 | −$14,497 −100% | 25 |
| 782d |  CPU2 fills | 2024 August hottest on record? | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $7,022 | −$1,163 −17% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2024 August is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2024 August is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.