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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus Carlsen | 100% | +9 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | −6 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | −2 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 0% | −9 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ding Liren | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wei Yi | 0% | −3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Levon Aronian | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denis Lazavik | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Fedoseev | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Player I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512d |  YouAreMyExitLiqudity | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,857 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 512d | Waterfall412 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,411 | +$45 +1.0% | 4 |
| 512d |  LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,557 | +$193 +7.5% | 4 |
| 512d |  gopfan2 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,431 | +$141 +9.9% | 4 |
| 513d | LEONIDOVITCH19832 fills | Ian Nepomniachtchi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,951 | +$29 +0.6% | 4 |
| 513d | Waterfall412 | Vladimir Fedoseev | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,287 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 513d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Vladimir Fedoseev | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 514d | Waterfall4122 fills | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,617 | +$84 +3.2% | 5 |
| 514d | Waterfall412 | Vladislav Artemiev | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,274 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 514d |  AgricultureSecretary | Wei Yi | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,667 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 514d | Waterfall412 | Arjun Erigaisi | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,228 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 514d | LEONIDOVITCH19832 fills | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,041 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 514d | Waterfall412 | Ding Liren | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,533 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 514d | iamgone | Ding Liren | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,251 | +$18 +0.8% | 4 |
| 514d | 33rrv | Magnus Carlsen | SellNo40¢ → 0¢ | $11,549 | +$11,549 +100% | — |
| 514d | Gralyn | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $17,614 | +$11,262 +64% | 9 |
| 515d | iamgone2 fills | Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,038 | +$97 +3.2% | 4 |
| 515d |  noreasapa | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 515d | noreasapa | Jan-Krzysztof Duda | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,661 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 515d | 0x4e25…d7a72 fills | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,042 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 515d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,441 | +$28 +1.1% | 4 |
| 515d | gopfan2 | Jan-Krzysztof Duda | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,907 | +$21 +1.1% | 4 |
| 516d | Waterfall412 | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$48 +4.2% | 4 |
| 517d | Foryne | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $14,628 | −$11,969 −82% | — |
| 517d | Foryne | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $14,639 | +$11,977 +82% | 6 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Chess.com Classic Chess tournament, scheduled to take place May 18, 2025 – May 23, 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Magnus Carlsen means the market gives it about 100%.