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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 100% | +26 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jannik Sinner | 0% | −52 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Novak Djokovic | 0% | −26 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Zverev | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Draper | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Fritz | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joao Fonseca | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex De Minaur | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Shelton | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jakub Mensik | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Learner Tien | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrey Rublev | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Casper Ruud | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tommy Paul | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tomas Machac | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Bublik | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Grigor Dimitrov | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denis Shapovalov | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Karen Khachanov | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arthur Fils | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jiri Lehecka | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matteo Berrettini | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frances Tiafoe | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Michelsen | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tallon Griekspoor | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cameron Norrie | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ugo Humbert | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Player B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128d | 0x5e83…3bb7 | Grigor Dimitrov | BuyYes<1¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 190d | bjzhuge | Grigor Dimitrov | SellNo>99¢ | $8,481 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 190d | xuyanggmail | Grigor Dimitrov | SellNo>99¢ | $21,378 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 190d | selectfund4 | Grigor Dimitrov | SellNo>99¢ | $20,000 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 190d | Lx-quant | Grigor Dimitrov | SellNo>99¢ | $4,355 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | NoDutton | Novak Djokovic | SellNo>99¢ | $1,412 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Stingy-Atom | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,603 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Aurelius7 | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,675 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | GenericUser1234 | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,202 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | fu145875 | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $17,533 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | acorp | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,388 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | acorp | Novak Djokovic | SellNo>99¢ | $13,087 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Jiale | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,982 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | PetitprinceETH | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Moycor2 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,171 | −$529 −13% | — |
| 258d | Sociable-Outrun | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,510 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Matelleti | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $4,475 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | astapzippo | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,591 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | nanin | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $5,606 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | mynegod | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,356 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Jorons | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,315 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | aradchenko1 | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,747 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  PenskyMaterial | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $5,231 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  verifly | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $15,248 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | EscalateFund2 fills | Novak Djokovic | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,472 | −$528 −3.9% | — |
| 258d | tcp2 | Novak Djokovic | SellNo>99¢ | $1,671 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | D2z | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,010 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | gmanas9 fills | Novak Djokovic | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $92,427 | +$5,378 +5.8% | 4 |
| 258d | tcp2 | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,286 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | StaryWaniorek | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,076 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | gmanas9 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $73,181 | +$9,154 +13% | 4 |
| 258d | cigarettes6 fills | Novak Djokovic | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $7,545 | +$2,064 +27% | 4 |
| 258d |  ScottyNooo | Novak Djokovic | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $7,234 | +$1,081 +15% | 4 |
| 258d | oliman2 | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,665 | +$335 +13% | 4 |
| 258d | Fumbling-Inbox4 fills | Novak Djokovic | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $8,281 | +$8,281 +100% | — |
| 258d | Fumbling-Inbox3 fills | Novak Djokovic | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $6,533 | −$6,533 −100% | 4 |
| 258d | Unrealistic-Corral | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,259 | −$446 −20% | — |
| 258d | Unrealistic-Corral | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,457 | +$249 +10% | 5 |
| 258d | 0xc9f1…137c | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$174 −16% | — |
| 258d |  JuJuSmithSchuster | Novak Djokovic | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$114 +7.6% | 4 |
| 258d | minioncheer2 fills | Novak Djokovic | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $15,500 | −$15,500 −100% | 4 |
| 258d |  RN1 | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,719 | +$410 +15% | 4 |
| 258d | fancybettor | Novak Djokovic | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 258d | slamjampeter | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,406 | −$1,406 −100% | 4 |
| 258d | swag37 | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$1,004 +39% | 4 |
| 258d | swag373 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $9,680 | −$4,320 −45% | — |
| 258d | shlager26 | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,359 | −$1,602 −68% | — |
| 258d | NSCaitfChm | Carlos Alcaraz | SellNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,090 | +$1,090 +100% | — |
| 258d | shlager26 | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,015 +101% | 4 |
| 258d | ET444 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $18,224 | +$7,393 +41% | 4 |
| 258d | cigarettes2 fills | Novak Djokovic | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $4,874 | −$4,874 −100% | 4 |
| 258d |  ArturitoFilito | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,756 | −$1,756 −100% | 4 |
| 258d | waterfall04 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $5,022 | −$5,022 −100% | 9 |
| 258d | PaulToy2 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $8,112 | −$8,112 −100% | 4 |
| 258d | nanin2 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,494 | +$1,515 +43% | 4 |
| 258d | waterfall05 fills | Novak Djokovic | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $7,055 | +$1,197 +17% | 6 |
| 258d | gmanas | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,014 | −$1,014 −100% | 4 |
| 258d | gmanas2 fills | Novak Djokovic | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $2,312 | −$2,312 −100% | 4 |
| 258d | allpinkynobrain | Novak Djokovic | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,465 | −$1,465 −100% | 4 |
| 258d | 0xdgy | Novak Djokovic | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,123 | −$1,123 −100% | 4 |
Maccapacca4,640 sharesThe 2026 Australian Open is set to take place from January 18 - February 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Carlos Alcaraz means the market gives it about 100%.