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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503d | Ordon | 4chan confirmed Fed operation? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 504d |  Car2 fills | 4chan confirmed Fed operation? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,004 | +$52 +0.7% | 10 |
| 548d |  GollumGekko | 4chan confirmed Fed operation? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,401 | +$37 +1.5% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that 4chan is operated or directly controlled by U.S. federal agencies is made public by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from U.S. federal agencies confirming such involvement will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Mere surveillance or intelligence gathering by federal agencies will not qualify. Evidence of isolated employment of 4chan staff by federal agencies will not count, however evidence of systemic or coordinated staffing of 4chan employees with federal agents will qualify. Unverified allegations, anonymous claims, or documents not substantiated by credible reporting will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, as well as official statements from U.S. government.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.