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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +89 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135d | yougotme | Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,360 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 135d |  Rex4162 fills | Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,614 | +$12 +0.5% | 4 |
| 135d |  HomeAloneNope | Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$18 +0.7% | 4 |
| 135d | Trim-Caution | Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$11 +0.8% | 4 |
| 135d |  Writeoff | Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,378 | +$26 +1.1% | 4 |
| 149d | M2sx92kljs42 | Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,153 | −$1,153 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.