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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228d |  bamesjond | Another US bank failure by February 28? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | bamesjond | Another US bank failure by February 28? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,388 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 228d | Rundown-Volcano | Another US bank failure by February 28? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 231d |  DaOnepiece | Another US bank failure by February 28? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 231d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Another US bank failure by February 28? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,433 | +$19 +0.8% | 4 |
| 232d | Chief-Leverage | Another US bank failure by February 28? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,004 | +$48 +1.2% | 4 |
| 233d | Adventurous-Evaluator | Another US bank failure by February 28? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$62 +4.2% | 5 |
| 234d |  wish- | Another US bank failure by February 28? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$44 +4.2% | 5 |
| 249d |  chefepanda2 fills | Another US bank failure by February 28? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$708 +14% | 4 |
| 256d |  Parz1vaI | Another US bank failure by February 28? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$168 +15% | 4 |
Helgef326 shares
TimeTraveler300 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.