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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥0.4% | 100% | +65 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤0.0% | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.1% | 0% | −3 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.2% | 0% | −8 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.3% | 0% | −55 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401d |  noreasapa | ≥0.4% | SellYes>99¢ | $5,301 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 401d | wokerjoesleeper | ≥0.4% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,300 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 401d | Mimn | ≥0.4% | SellYes>99¢ | $2,807 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 401d | rwo | ≤0.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,226 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 401d | rwo | 0.1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 401d |  SPIT | 0.3% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 10 |
| 402d | 5551ab | ≤0.0% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 403d |  apalebluedot3 fills | 0.3% | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $3,749 | −$3,749 −100% | 10 |
| 408d | Bukaj0889 | 0.2% | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$154 +7.7% | 10 |
| 409d | Grinder123 | 0.3% | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$1,092 +90% | 10 |
| 421d |  Alpha.Seeking | 0.3% | SellYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,533 | +$1,533 +100% | — |
| 429d | Alpha.Seeking | 0.3% | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,575 | −$1,575 −100% | 10 |
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in August 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ≥0.4% means the market gives it about 100%.