| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 208 | 27¢ → 63¢ | $130 | +$73 +129% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | No | 90 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $90 | +$12 +16% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 110 | 52¢ → 79¢ | $87 | +$29 +51% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 91 | 97¢ → 87¢ | $78 | −$10 −11% |
| Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 76 | 0¢ → 100¢ | $76 | +$76 +0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 71 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $70 | +$2 +3.2% |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 66 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $66 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 388 | 10¢ → 17¢ | $64 | +$24 +62% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 62 | 51¢ → 92¢ | $57 | +$25 +80% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | No | 53 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $53 | +$3 +5.9% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | No | 52 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $52 | +$4 +8.8% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 55 | 44¢ → 89¢ | $49 | +$24 +99% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 49 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $48 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 49 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$3 +6.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 45 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $39 | +$10 +36% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | No | 39 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $38 | +$3 +7.8% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 37 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $35 | +$6 +22% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 99 | 73¢ → 36¢ | $35 | −$37 −51% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 73 | 0¢ → 47¢ | $34 | +$34 +0.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 34 | 59¢ → 95¢ | $32 | +$12 +60% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 32 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $32 | +$4 +14% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 214 | 1¢ → 14¢ | $30 | +$29 +2486% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 99 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $27 | +$7 +38% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $27 | +$1 +4.7% |
| Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Ends in 99d | No | 27 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $26 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 26 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $26 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $25 | +$5 +26% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 29 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $24 | +$2 +7.0% |
| Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 165d | No | 24 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $24 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 112 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $23 | −$32 −58% |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 23 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $23 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 38 | 24¢ → 57¢ | $22 | +$13 +138% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 22 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $21 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $21 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $19 | +$2 +15% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 19 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $19 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 24 | 0¢ → 77¢ | $19 | +$19 +0.0% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 18 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $17 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 18 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $17 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 72 | 0¢ → 23¢ | $16 | +$16 +0.0% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 16 | 69¢ → >99¢ | $16 | +$5 +44% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 18 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $16 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $16 | +$1 +4.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 33 | 1¢ → 47¢ | $16 | +$15 +5899% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 21 | 38¢ → 71¢ | $15 | +$7 +89% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 194 | 1¢ → 7¢ | $14 | +$13 +1188% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 13 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$0 +0.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 18 | 50¢ → 73¢ | $13 | +$4 +46% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 13 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$1 +8.2% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 13 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$1 +8.8% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends ended | No | 19 | 46¢ → 68¢ | $13 | +$4 +49% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 214 | 1¢ → 6¢ | $12 | +$11 +925% |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 12 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Ends in 74d | No | 12 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 12 | 49¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$6 +104% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $12 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 74 | 0¢ → 16¢ | $12 | +$12 +0.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Ends in 439d | No | 12 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $12 | +$1 +4.9% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 76¢ → 40¢ | $11 | −$10 −48% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 11 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 199 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $10 | +$9 +798% |
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $9 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 9 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 9 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $9 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 9 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$2 +26% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 9 | 69¢ → 99¢ | $9 | +$3 +44% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 9 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 9 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $9 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 9 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $8 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Ends in 87d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$1 +14% |
| Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$1 +8.9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 145 | 41¢ → 6¢ | $8 | −$51 −87% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 156 | 19¢ → 5¢ | $8 | −$22 −73% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 9 | 42¢ → 87¢ | $8 | +$4 +106% |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 58¢ → 83¢ | $7 | +$2 +43% |
| Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will SZA be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 6 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$1 +9.7% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9 | 7¢ → 66¢ | $6 | +$5 +889% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 33 | 1¢ → 18¢ | $6 | +$6 +2141% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 214 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $6 | +$5 +390% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 167 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$11 −68% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 160 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $5 | +$4 +490% |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 94¢ → 84¢ | $5 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 204 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $5 | +$4 +345% |
| Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended | No | 5 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.0% |
| Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 165d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 7 | 93¢ → 64¢ | $4 | −$2 −31% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 214 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $4 | +$3 +245% |
