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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sweden Democrats (SD) | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moderate Party (M) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Centre Party (C) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Left Party (V) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Christian Democrats (KD) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green Party (MP) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liberals (L) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Citizens' Coalition (MED) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Party A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33d | Winerius2 fills | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | SellYes>99¢ | $16,733 | −$79 −0.5% | — |
| 33d | FlyingPlaty3 fills | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,795 | +$54 +0.2% | 10 |
| 33d | FlyingPlaty | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,479 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 33d |  Flipadelphia | Moderate Party (M) | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,976 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 33d | Flipadelphia | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,538 | +$17 +0.3% | 10 |
| 34d | Magician5342 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$9 +0.8% | 10 |
| 35d | Abdoulay4 fills | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,168 | +$67 +0.9% | 10 |
| 36d | Admirable-Trust | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$8 +0.8% | 10 |
| 37d | Bukaj | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$22 +0.7% | 10 |
| 38d |  Everestpredictions2 fills | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,550 | −$50 −1.4% | — |
| 41d | Everestpredictions | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,955 | +$45 +1.5% | 10 |
| 45d |  besofmyra | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$19 +0.5% | 10 |
| 46d | paddapadda | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | −$14 −1.1% | — |
| 53d | momo513 | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | +$38 +2.4% | 10 |
| 53d | varch01 | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$30 −2.6% | — |
| 59d | momo513 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$18 +1.5% | 10 |
| 78d | Elias.Thornwell | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$24 −2.4% | — |
| 86d | Winninghumbly3 fills | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,057 | +$357 +5.9% | 10 |
| 91d | hklcrypt | Green Party (MP) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,182 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 91d | hklcrypt | Green Party (MP) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,183 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 107d | stupid22 | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,787 | +$74 +4.2% | 10 |
| 119d | paddapadda | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | +$95 +5.3% | 10 |
| 202d | demise26 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | −$73 −5.4% | — |
| 202d | mansionxx97 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | −$58 −5.4% | — |
| 202d | double75 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | −$74 −5.4% | — |
| 202d | Hammer-Brand-Agent | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | −$62 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | buffalo-outside | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$59 +5.5% | 10 |
| 202d | Hammer-Brand-Agent | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | +$58 +5.5% | 10 |
| 202d | Sameoi57 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | −$81 −5.4% | — |
| 202d | chargeAwful | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | −$66 −5.4% | — |
| 202d | exhibit4890 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$80 +5.5% | 10 |
| 202d | manualnv47 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | −$67 −5.3% | — |
| 202d | maidFilm | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$54 −5.3% | — |
| 202d | mandate.town.rate | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | −$61 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | behindMansion | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | −$74 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | Off323 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$56 −5.4% | — |
| 202d | bamboo-will | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$55 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | spring-globe | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$57 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | spring-globe | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,438 | +$79 +5.5% | 10 |
| 202d | soldierlp60 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | −$75 −5.4% | — |
| 202d | choiceResponse | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | −$77 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | choiceResponse | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$80 +5.7% | 10 |
| 202d | kidAbuse | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | −$76 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | vanishcg84 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | +$82 +5.7% | 10 |
| 202d | bleakhb34 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$59 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | special-upon-lizard | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,459 | −$83 −5.7% | — |
| 205d | Baggy-Kindness | Green Party (MP) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,529 | −$36 −1.0% | — |
| 205d | Easy-Teriyaki | Green Party (MP) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,536 | +$36 +1.0% | 10 |
| 205d | Baggy-Kindness | Green Party (MP) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,529 | +$36 +1.0% | 10 |
| 205d | Everlasting-Bibliography | Green Party (MP) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,527 | +$36 +1.0% | 10 |
| 208d | You-Walk-Nominee | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | −$69 −5.3% | — |
| 208d | hurdle-witness2 fills | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,541 | −$130 −5.1% | — |
| 208d | Square-Lottery | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | −$56 −5.5% | — |
| 208d | dinosaur.else.neither | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | −$72 −5.5% | — |
| 208d | olive-gesture | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | −$84 −5.5% | — |
| 208d | reviewmk30 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | −$60 −5.5% | — |
| 208d | cradle-shuffle-spot | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | −$74 −5.5% | — |
| 208d | arch-menu | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | −$61 −5.5% | — |
| 208d | educateyo83 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | −$66 −6.0% | — |
| 208d | drum581 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | −$55 −5.3% | — |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) means the market gives it about 100%.