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Polymarket wallet 0xfd10837e41f7fbe616ed0b6f3ca60b59e28b5378 · on Polymarket since Dec 19, 2021 · also shown as Grounded-Farmer
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,201 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $2,168 | +$168 +8.4% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$80 +8.7% |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $979 | +$39 +4.1% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $33 | −$68 −68% |
| Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 569 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,570 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$750 −100% |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,202 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$350 −100% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 532 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 27 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.