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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 100% | +5 pts | +58 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 12 | 0% | −8 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 13 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 15 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 10 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 369d | Shachar9 | October 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,281 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | Lustrous-Painter | October 13 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,307 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 369d |  Ioan7 | October 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,928 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | dnlppvc | October 13 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | aviato | October 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,429 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d | IbnKhaldun | October 13 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,467 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 369d |  classified3 fills | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,409 | +$171 +1.6% | 20 |
| 369d |  JJo | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d |  Oompa-Loompa | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d |  MisTKy3 | October 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,280 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d |  Malllory | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,272 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d | gongwuyuan | October 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,662 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | October 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,189 | +$33 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d | AgricultureSecretary4 fills | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $33,294 | +$39 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d | GondorCallsForAid3 fills | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,691 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d |  PredictionYogi | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,746 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d | aviato4 fills | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,973 | +$27 +0.2% | 20 |
| 369d |  roadmapper | October 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,988 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d |  HolyMoses74 fills | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,502 | +$53 +0.2% | 20 |
| 369d | Trader2936 | October 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,196 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 369d | MisTKy36 fills | October 13 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $30,611 | +$320 +1.0% | 20 |
| 369d | Psyche-Eros | October 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,346 | −$25 −0.4% | — |
| 369d | klnr112 fills | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,588 | +$112 +1.7% | 20 |
| 369d |  JoeTrum | October 15 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,393 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 369d | ChrisMoltisanti | October 13 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,519 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 369d |  SPIT2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | +$29 +1.1% | 20 |
| 369d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $6,007 | +$1,453 +24% | 20 |
| 369d | BITCOINTO500K2 fills | October 13 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,406 | +$173 +3.2% | 20 |
| 369d | denizz5 fills | October 13 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $15,039 | +$2,299 +15% | 24 |
| 369d | wubddh3 fills | October 13 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,717 | +$777 +12% | 22 |
| 369d | SPIT | October 13 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,564 | +$93 +3.6% | 20 |
| 369d | SPIT | October 15 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | +$35 +2.8% | 20 |
| 369d |  Dumbeldor20034 fills | October 15 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $17,244 | +$358 +2.1% | 20 |
| 369d | Lanky-Circumstance | October 13 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$45 +3.7% | 20 |
| 369d | Dumbeldor20035 fills | October 13 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $16,382 | +$899 +5.5% | 21 |
| 369d | Dumbeldor20034 fills | October 12 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $35,852 | −$2,366 −6.6% | — |
| 369d | Dumbeldor20032 fills | October 15 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,186 | −$394 −6.4% | — |
| 369d | esac | October 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,761 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d | cedargem | October 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$17 −1.4% | — |
| 369d |  ILOVEYOUBABYZZ2 fills | October 15 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,969 | +$250 +4.2% | 20 |
| 369d | Dumbeldor2003 | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,200 | +$34 +0.8% | 20 |
| 369d | ILOVEYOUBABYZZ | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,195 | +$27 +1.2% | 20 |
| 369d |  0xdc3E831cad | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,902 | +$95 +2.4% | 20 |
| 369d |  ImJustKen | October 12 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,797 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | ALLOWMETOSHOWU1 | October 13 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,482 | +$170 +3.1% | 20 |
| 369d |  Minecraft | October 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$37 +3.3% | 20 |
| 369d | ILOVEYOUBABYZZ | October 13 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,854 | +$205 +4.2% | 20 |
| 369d |  MEPP3 fills | October 13 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $8,905 | +$1,144 +13% | 22 |
| 369d |  Robbb2 fills | October 13 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,040 | +$237 +7.8% | 20 |
| 369d | ChrisMoltisanti | October 13 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$77 +5.3% | 20 |
| 369d | ScottyNooo | October 15 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$95 +7.0% | 20 |
| 369d |  Alphax | October 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,465 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d | jesuschristcoded | October 12 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,691 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | LFC8 | October 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,761 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 369d | torrest | October 13 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,091 | +$455 +11% | 20 |
| 369d | Ulysse31 | October 12 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 369d | PredictionYogi4 fills | October 12 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,552 | +$747 +9.9% | 20 |
| 369d |  brodiaga2 fills | October 12 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,162 | +$126 +1.2% | 20 |
| 369d | MisTKy35 fills | October 12 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $9,785 | +$4,755 +49% | 20 |
| 369d | jesuschristcoded | October 12 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,679 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 |
lilslut45 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 100%.