| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,700 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $2,525 | +$337 +15% |
| Will AI solve Legendre's conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 533 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $511 | +$111 +28% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $362 | +$6 +1.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 400 | 64¢ → 81¢ | $324 | +$68 +27% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,000 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $250 | −$850 −77% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 264 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $244 | +$14 +6.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 240 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $229 | +$28 +14% |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,999 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $210 | −$64 −23% |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Ends in 9d | Yes | 519 | 32¢ → 38¢ | $197 | +$33 +20% |
| Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 71¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$43 +30% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $161 | −$5 −3.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 179 | 56¢ → 88¢ | $156 | +$56 +56% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 146 | 69¢ → 91¢ | $132 | +$32 +32% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 257 | 51¢ → 48¢ | $122 | −$9 −7.0% |
| Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 133 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $109 | +$9 +8.7% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 110 | 76¢ → 85¢ | $93 | +$10 +12% |
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Ends in 256d | Up | 100 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$5 +5.3% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 314 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $86 | −$22 −20% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 40¢ → 76¢ | $76 | +$36 +90% |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 500 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $60 | −$20 −25% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 65 | 57¢ → 84¢ | $55 | +$17 +46% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 400 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $53 | −$15 −23% |
| Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 274 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $40 | −$22 −36% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 67 | 30¢ → 53¢ | $35 | +$15 +75% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 604 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $30 | −$69 −70% |
| Will AI solve P versus NP in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 31 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 190 | 32¢ → 16¢ | $29 | −$31 −51% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 36¢ → 20¢ | $19 | −$16 −46% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$4 +23% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 50 | 40¢ → 33¢ | $16 | −$4 −19% |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 21¢ → 31¢ | $15 | +$5 +45% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 24 | 42¢ → 63¢ | $15 | +$5 +47% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 289 | 29¢ → 5¢ | $14 | −$69 −83% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 50 | 60¢ → 21¢ | $11 | −$20 −65% |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 40¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$30 −75% |
| Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 45 | 19¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$2 −24% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 71¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$67 −94% |
| Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 78 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$6 −63% |
| Plague pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 129 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$2 −32% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$5 −62% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 35 | 72¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$23 −91% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 52 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$4 −69% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 70 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$5 −77% |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 205 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −63% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 6h | Yes | 200 | 55¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$109 −99% |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 685 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$265 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 99 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 178 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,102 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 160 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 162 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 211 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,741 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,405 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 836 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$238 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 260 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 700 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$144 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 620 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will 220-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
