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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lebanon | 0% | — | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Venezuela | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Cuba | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| North Korea | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Iraq | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Malaysia | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Indonesia | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Afghanistan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Syria | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Qatar | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Pakistan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Bangladesh | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Tunisia | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Kuwait | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103d | nickthechopper | Lebanon | SellNo>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 103d |  cambridgeisaac2 fills | Lebanon | SellNo>99¢ | $6,030 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 104d |  elmcap29 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $155,532 | +$1,817 +1.2% | 4 |
| 104d | Spiffy-Hold | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,410 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 104d |  ThePortrait | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,155 | +$28 +0.1% | 4 |
| 104d |  Gleaming-Pear | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $50,315 | +$50 +0.1% | 4 |
| 104d |  moonlight2020 | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,950 | +$40 +0.1% | 4 |
| 105d |  Vitales | Lebanon | SellNo>99¢ | $1,092 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 105d |  ZamamiTurtle | Lebanon | SellNo>99¢ | $1,805 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 105d | Trustinghorse14 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $226,214 | +$1,029 +0.5% | 4 |
| 105d | Unfinished-July | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,288 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 105d |  TeemuPukki | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,430 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 105d | Caring-Employ-Espalier | Lebanon | SellNo>99¢ | $4,226 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 105d | 0x6d38…3af6 | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 105d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389352 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,988 | +$12 +0.3% | 4 |
| 106d | OLOTH | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 106d |  Ko-san-1232 fills | Lebanon | SellNo>99¢ | $8,111 | −$35 −0.4% | — |
| 106d |  OraculumNobius | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 106d |  DegenerateJanet | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,556 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 |
| 106d | PredMarketTechnologies | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,056 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 106d | OptimusBeta | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,490 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 106d | raahraahraah | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 106d | TwoChina | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,298 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 106d | MelaniaFlexAcc | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,006 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 106d | IRAN2028 | Lebanon | BuyNo100¢ | $1,057 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 106d |  clazzy1 | Lebanon | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,763 | −$27 −1.0% | — |
| 106d | ExDeus | Lebanon | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,028 | −$45 −1.1% | — |
| 106d |  scottilicious3 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $17,851 | +$3,287 +18% | 7 |
| 106d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Lebanon | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | −$30 −2.0% | — |
| 106d |  Aq4ExePrd22Jn | Lebanon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.1% | 4 |
| 106d |  Seutervoinen2 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,260 | +$214 +2.9% | 4 |
| 107d | nickthechopper6 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $9,902 | +$1,006 +10% | 4 |
| 107d | jklsjdwoqejasdf10 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $32,279 | +$11,783 +37% | 8 |
| 107d |  Rex4164 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,121 | +$560 +9.1% | 7 |
| 107d | thoodr | Lebanon | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,083 | +$56 +2.7% | 4 |
| 107d | Sniveling-Passion | Lebanon | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$33 −3.3% | — |
| 107d |  Levi567 | Lebanon | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | −$48 −3.8% | — |
| 107d |  Nik- | Lebanon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$28 +2.5% | 4 |
| 107d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Lebanon | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,153 | −$248 −3.0% | — |
| 107d | garbagefriends | Lebanon | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,507 | −$49 −3.2% | — |
| 107d | LessIsMore6688 | Lebanon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$23 +2.2% | 4 |
| 108d | Ko-san-123 | Lebanon | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | +$53 +4.4% | 4 |
| 108d |  jakebet | Lebanon | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,286 | −$472 −5.7% | — |
| 108d | Manzana698 | Lebanon | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | −$71 −4.5% | — |
| 108d | Manzana698 | Lebanon | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,622 | +$51 +3.1% | 4 |
| 108d | x84729153 | Lebanon | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,796 | −$79 −4.4% | — |
| 108d | pakukudolphi | Lebanon | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,820 | −$180 −4.7% | — |
| 108d |  otarril | Lebanon | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,826 | −$217 −2.8% | — |
| 108d | 0xE17D | Lebanon | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,473 | +$27 +1.1% | 4 |
| 108d |  JasonPunos | Lebanon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,024 | +$33 +1.7% | 4 |
| 108d |  mostobesegoldfish | Lebanon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,638 | +$65 +2.5% | 4 |
| 108d | KiernanMeister2 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $24,763 | +$291 +1.2% | 4 |
| 108d |  PredictionYogi | Venezuela | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 108d | jklsjdwoqejasdf5 fills | Lebanon | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $21,848 | −$8,131 −37% | — |
| 108d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,509 | +$249 +2.6% | 4 |
| 108d | Scrimpy2 fills | Lebanon | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $18,864 | −$1,214 −6.4% | — |
| 108d | scottilicious | Lebanon | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $10,260 | −$743 −7.2% | — |
| 108d |  aenews24 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $5,722 | +$1,685 +29% | 8 |
| 108d |  themagicofcinema2 fills | Lebanon | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,864 | −$501 −8.5% | — |
| 108d |  imnice2 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $22,215 | +$1,529 +6.9% | 4 |
betwick35,911 shares
VandelayArt11,762 shares
mommypig5 sharesThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Lebanon means the market gives it about 0%.