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Polymarket wallet 0xc4bceb0e1508e9e1555444ffd93023a12513c59a · on Polymarket since Jun 28, 2024 · also shown as Forsaken-Swath
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,215 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $81 | −$19 −19% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,429 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 112 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 268 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes2¢ | $104 |
| 75d | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BuyNo43¢ | $48 |
| 94d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes20¢ | $55 |
| 97d | LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent? | SellNo97¢ | $31 |
| 101d | LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent? | BuyNo47¢ | $15 |
| 103d | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BuyYes<1¢ | $20 |
| 790d | Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC? | BuyYes1¢ | $15 |
| 840d | Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BuyYes1¢ | $32 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.