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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Joe Biden | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gavin Newsom | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michelle Obama | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elizabeth Warren | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other (Incl. Whitmer) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dean Phillips | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 802d | therealbatman | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,860,643 | +$1,863 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d |  mcduck | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $79,792 | +$80 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d |  Apsalar | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | professorx3 fills | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $802,668 | +$1,131 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d |  occasionalAwareness | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $299,700 | +$300 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d |  fhantombets2 fills | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $129,870 | +$130 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d |  kickstandhater | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $85,344 | +$85 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | sabato113 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,964 | +$36 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d |  d1k21 | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,096 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | occasionalAwareness4 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $179,320 | +$680 +0.4% | 10 |
| 802d | therealbatman13 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,498,524 | +$14,026 +0.9% | 10 |
| 802d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente4 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,604 | +$81 +0.3% | 10 |
| 802d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly3 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,425 | +$75 +0.6% | 10 |
| 802d |  AgricultureSecretary | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,419 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | mitraa5 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,613 | +$128 +0.8% | 10 |
| 802d | Willums | Kamala Harris | SellYes>99¢ | $1,993 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 802d |  kdubhotsauce | Kamala Harris | SellYes>99¢ | $11,396 | −$23 −0.2% | — |
| 802d | TrumpPher | Kamala Harris | SellYes>99¢ | $1,023 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 802d |  09435 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $289,098 | +$7,744 +2.7% | 10 |
| 802d | PM7773 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,901 | +$99 +0.8% | 10 |
| 802d | 55BURGERS55FRIES55TACOS55PIES55COKES100 | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,497 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | Breezy-Entrance2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,882 | +$347 +1.7% | 10 |
| 802d |  Waklert2 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes>99¢ | $4,285 | −$16 −0.4% | — |
| 802d | professorx5 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $427,849 | +$697 +0.2% | 10 |
| 802d | Waklert2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,297 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | nishiwo | Michelle Obama | SellNo>99¢ | $1,836 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 802d | professorx2 fills | Michelle Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $111,573 | +$140 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | nishiwo | Michelle Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,838 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | nishiwo | Gavin Newsom | SellNo>99¢ | $1,838 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 802d | nishiwo | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,839 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | shenmiao | Michelle Obama | SellNo>99¢ | $1,481 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 802d | shenmiao | Michelle Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,482 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | Breezy-Entrance2 fills | Michelle Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $69,930 | +$70 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente3 fills | Michelle Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,943 | +$57 +0.2% | 10 |
| 802d | gh58n1gf5h6 | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,477 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d |  yyowza2 fills | Michelle Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,614 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d |  50Whence2 fills | Michelle Obama | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,108 | −$225 −1.9% | — |
| 802d | Matahari | Kamala Harris | SellYes>99¢ | $1,132 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 802d |  bee4 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,693 | −$105 −0.9% | — |
| 802d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,023 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 802d | maywo | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,750 | +$51 +0.4% | 10 |
| 802d | bigD3 fills | Michelle Obama | SellYes<1¢ | $4,405 | +$4,405 +100% | — |
| 802d | frasherraymon | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,094 | −$21 −1.0% | — |
| 802d | frasherraymon | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$15 +0.7% | 10 |
| 802d |  studmuffin6969 | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$7 +0.7% | 10 |
| 802d | polyswiss | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,771 | +$12 +0.7% | 10 |
| 802d |  Concepts-of-a-Plan | Michelle Obama | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$8 +0.6% | 10 |
| 802d |  fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 802d | 50Whence7 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $35,587 | +$1,079 +3.0% | 10 |
| 802d | poptree7 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $35,744 | +$639 +1.8% | 10 |
| 802d |  Kickstand7 | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,123 | +$215 +1.4% | 10 |
| 802d | Junexz | Other (Incl. Whitmer) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,995 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 802d | Junexz | Other (Incl. Whitmer) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,997 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | shangzhi | Other (Incl. Whitmer) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,046 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 802d | shangzhi | Other (Incl. Whitmer) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | wenhecongr | Gavin Newsom | SellNo>99¢ | $2,293 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 802d | wenhecongr | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,295 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | 2sjy04sw6f3irs2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,009 | +$91 +1.5% | 10 |
| 802d | DunkBruntley | Michelle Obama | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,181 | +$41 +0.8% | 10 |
| 802d | youand | Other (Incl. Whitmer) | SellNo>99¢ | $2,291 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
MontelWilliams556,000 sharesThis is a market on who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 presidential election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kamala Harris means the market gives it about 100%.