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Polymarket wallet 0xca62d607db80661b987badf01abb499eee5afbfa · on Polymarket since Nov 18, 2021 · also shown as Reckless-Pitch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 244,093 | 50¢ → 53¢ | $129,125 | +$7,079 +5.8% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 244,093 | 50¢ → 47¢ | $114,968 | −$7,079 −5.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 6,000 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $5,430 | +$30 +0.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 6,000 | 87¢ → 77¢ | $4,590 | −$630 −12% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,000 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,820 −100% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,713 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,302 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 647 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$492 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.