| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,216 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $1,149 | +$6 +0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 861 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $728 | +$13 +1.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 411 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $396 | +$84 +27% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 349 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $343 | +$3 +0.8% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 303 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $299 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 301 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $290 | +$6 +2.2% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 221 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $214 | +$16 +7.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,649 | 65¢ → 11¢ | $181 | −$896 −83% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 270 | 36¢ → 53¢ | $144 | +$47 +48% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,525 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $136 | −$19 −12% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 147 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $131 | −$2 −1.5% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 118 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $115 | +$7 +6.4% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 120 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $115 | −$1 −0.6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 116 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $112 | +$2 +1.9% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Ends ended | Yes | 103 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $103 | +$6 +6.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 103 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $102 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 397 | 48¢ → 25¢ | $97 | −$91 −48% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $95 | −$1 −0.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 101 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$2 +1.9% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $93 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $92 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 97 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $91 | +$5 +5.3% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 91 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $86 | +$3 +3.3% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 90 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $85 | +$4 +4.4% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 93 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $85 | +$3 +3.1% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 82 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $79 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 78 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $73 | −$2 −2.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 100 | 61¢ → 71¢ | $71 | +$10 +16% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 78 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $71 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 68 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $68 | +$5 +7.9% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 239 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $66 | −$1 −2.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 78 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $62 | +$5 +9.6% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 6,111 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $58 | +$3 +5.6% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 60 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $56 | $0 0.0% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 73 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $55 | −$3 −5.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 294 | 31¢ → 19¢ | $54 | −$37 −41% |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 69d | Yes | 59 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $54 | +$3 +6.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 668 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $53 | +$5 +10% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 55 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $53 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 67 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $52 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 53 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 54 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $50 | +$2 +4.0% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 52 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.8% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 73¢ → 78¢ | $47 | +$3 +6.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 242 | 24¢ → 19¢ | $46 | −$11 −20% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$3 +7.6% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $46 | +$5 +11% |
| Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 48 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $45 | +$2 +4.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 82 | 37¢ → 54¢ | $44 | +$14 +44% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?Ends in 8h | No | 44 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $44 | +$3 +6.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 49 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $43 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $42 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $41 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 44 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $41 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $38 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 67 | 70¢ → 56¢ | $37 | −$10 −21% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | No | 50 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $37 | −$3 −7.7% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 40 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $37 | +$6 +19% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 9,006 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $36 | −$18 −33% |
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 39 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $36 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 57¢ → 89¢ | $35 | +$12 +54% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $35 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 46 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $35 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 35 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $34 | +$3 +7.9% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $33 | +$2 +7.9% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 37 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $33 | +$4 +13% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 56 | 66¢ → 57¢ | $32 | −$5 −13% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 33 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $32 | +$7 +28% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 97 | 28¢ → 33¢ | $32 | +$4 +16% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 69¢ → 79¢ | $31 | +$4 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $31 | +$2 +6.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 32 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $31 | +$1 +3.9% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 45 | 29¢ → 69¢ | $30 | +$17 +134% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 41 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $30 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 32 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $30 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 31 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $29 | +$1 +3.9% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 91 | 31¢ → 31¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $27 | +$5 +21% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $26 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 947 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $26 | −$0 −0.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 40 | 54¢ → 61¢ | $24 | +$3 +12% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 65¢ → 74¢ | $22 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 83¢ → 72¢ | $21 | −$3 −14% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 522 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $21 | +$2 +7.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 39¢ → 34¢ | $20 | −$3 −12% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 70 | 53¢ → 29¢ | $20 | −$17 −46% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 43¢ → 43¢ | $19 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$3 +18% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 25 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $19 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $19 | −$0 −0.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | No | 40 | 40¢ → 45¢ | $18 | +$2 +11% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 30 | 64¢ → 57¢ | $17 | −$2 −10% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 245 | 16¢ → 7¢ | $17 | −$22 −56% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 19¢ → 34¢ | $17 | +$7 +76% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $17 | −$0 −0.6% |