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Polymarket wallet 0x461a8020d3519c648cdb700a9ab5199ccd048411 · on Polymarket since Jul 5, 2025 · also shown as Rowdy-Sonata
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 100¢ | $25 | +$20 +400% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 382d | Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $5 |
| 455d | Israel parliament dissolved in 2025? | BuyYes50¢ | $10 |
| 456d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellYes42¢ | $3 |
| 456d | Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | SellYes13¢ | $1 |
| 456d | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | SellYes38¢ | $7 |
| 456d | Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
| 462d | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | BuyYes27¢ | $5 |
| 462d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyYes30¢ | $2 |
| 469d | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 469d | Netanyahu out by 2025? | SellYes18¢ | $1 |
| 469d | Netanyahu out by 2025? | BuyYes21¢ | $1 |
| 469d | Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | BuyYes18¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.