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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 442d |  zzzth | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,491 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 442d |  77603dad7edbb9a2775c5292 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $35,145 | −$51 −0.1% | — |
| 442d |  Hyph | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,923 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 442d |  JannnikSinner | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 442d | rfl | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,338 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 442d | Thin-Print | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,905 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 442d |  classified5 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,053 | +$112 +0.6% | 20 |
| 442d |  Alphax2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,483 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 442d |  Dumbeldor20032 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,045 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
| 442d |  Funfzig43 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $295,254 | +$26,605 +9.0% | 20 |
| 442d |  brodiaga3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,175 | −$149 −1.1% | — |
| 442d | StopNoticing7 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $68,587 | −$11,495 −17% | — |
| 443d | RobertDownJr | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,626 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 443d | RobertDownJr | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,255 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 443d |  TealV2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,900 | +$100 +0.7% | 20 |
| 443d |  Connext | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,196 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 443d | scuf | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,955 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 443d | 0xA9650de4301F45e7F090AdA7252F9c | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,056 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 443d |  MisTKy34 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $36,105 | +$765 +2.1% | 20 |
| 443d | 0xf0a0…d98b | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,159 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 443d |  JohnnyT | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,711 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 443d |  UwO | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 443d | brodiaga2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $15,781 | +$1,392 +8.8% | 21 |
| 443d | CanadianGoose | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 443d |  7153649820 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,707 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 443d | wobajack | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,199 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 443d | Zodia | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,108 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 443d | Fena | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,896 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 443d |  duderr | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,862 | −$27 −0.3% | — |
| 443d | RobXK | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $71,993 | +$219 +0.3% | 20 |
| 443d |  GoldFinch | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,237 | +$16 +0.5% | 20 |
| 443d | Fafnir72 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 443d | kennyrogerino | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$28 +0.7% | 20 |
| 444d | batwoman | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 444d | JohnnyT | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 444d |  mr.ozi5 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,484 | +$647 +6.2% | 20 |
| 444d | TexMexTRex | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $29,498 | −$336 −1.1% | — |
| 444d | Sechbet | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 444d | JOHNOO | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,929 | −$71 −1.0% | — |
| 445d |  01xBet | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 445d |  Oompa-Loompa | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,832 | +$17 +0.9% | 20 |
| 445d |  scottilicious2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $27,013 | +$1,620 +6.0% | 20 |
| 445d | Davidgamble | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | −$16 −0.9% | — |
| 445d | HanayamaKaoru | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,745 | −$156 −1.8% | — |
| 445d | ktxrgo | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,226 | −$36 −1.6% | — |
| 445d |  PredictionYogi8 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $27,215 | +$2,634 +9.7% | 20 |
| 445d |  Gr33d3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,784 | −$199 −3.4% | — |
| 445d | shitoia | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,531 | −$31 −2.0% | — |
| 445d | Valentinleonte | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$21 −2.0% | — |
| 445d | chilloutTt2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo59¢ → 100¢ | $10,537 | −$7,208 −68% | — |
| 445d | Whysoserious-928 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,135 | −$386 −2.6% | — |
| 445d | polypotato | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,955 | −$73 −2.5% | — |
| 445d | Gr33d6 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,995 | +$315 +3.2% | 20 |
| 445d | wubddh2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,549 | +$145 +2.6% | 20 |
| 445d |  Naichli9 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $35,278 | +$15,908 +45% | 20 |
| 445d |  SQP3G | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$46 +2.4% | 20 |
| 445d | CanadianGoose | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,894 | −$106 −2.7% | — |
| 446d | scuf | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$61 +3.2% | 21 |
| 446d | Nice-Windage2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,928 | −$166 −5.7% | — |
| 446d | tsekinming01 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,355 | −$89 −3.8% | — |
nick1513,333 sharesOn March 17, Israel announced extensive strikes on terror targets belonging to the Hamas terrorist organization in the Gaza Strip ending a previous ceasefire agreement which had been agreed on January 15 (See: https://x.com/IDF/status/1901802698237935705). This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between June 9, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. An announced agreement to reinstate the previous agreed upon January 15th ceasefire deal will qualify. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Israel and Hamas, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.