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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Syria | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oman | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Azerbaijan | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kuwait | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Lebanon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Indonesia | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  PredictionYogi | Syria | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,711 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | PredictionYogi | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,806 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | PredictionYogi | Indonesia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,663 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | PredictionYogi | Azerbaijan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,270 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | PredictionYogi | Lebanon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,823 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | PredictionYogi | Kuwait | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,306 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 299d | anjin987 | Oman | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$23 −2.0% | — |
| 305d | anjin987 | Azerbaijan | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 306d |  dooby | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,274 | +$43 +1.0% | 4 |
| 308d | anjin987 | Oman | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | +$48 +3.0% | 4 |
| 310d | alwaysOn | Syria | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | +$20 +1.1% | 4 |
| 322d |  NoClueAtAll | Saudi Arabia | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,944 | −$56 −1.9% | — |
| 332d |  ScottyNooo | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$18 +1.2% | 4 |
| 338d |  peggysage | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | +$64 +4.5% | 4 |
| 340d |  scottilicious | Syria | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | +$77 +5.4% | 4 |
| 347d | NoClueAtAll | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,878 | +$122 +4.2% | 4 |
| 353d | agagyu3 fills | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,400 | +$791 +12% | 4 |
| 365d |  Pulser | Saudi Arabia | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 6 |
| 372d | abuzzin | Saudi Arabia | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | −$182 −11% | — |
| 395d | gulliblebettor | Azerbaijan | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,407 | −$601 −25% | — |
| 417d |  png1024 | Syria | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$246 +16% | 4 |
| 418d | abuzzin | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$132 +12% | 4 |
| 426d | gulliblebettor | Syria | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | −$147 −13% | — |
| 426d | gulliblebettor | Saudi Arabia | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$253 −17% | — |
| 429d | gulliblebettor | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | +$173 +14% | 4 |
| 429d | gulliblebettor | Syria | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$201 +18% | 4 |
| 429d | gulliblebettor | Azerbaijan | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,115 | +$425 +20% | 4 |
| 437d | Choroo | Oman | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | −$115 −9.9% | — |
| 473d |  FATMAN | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,353 | +$468 +35% | 4 |
satoshiAncap3,016 shares
Frosen2,945 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Saudi Arabia means the market gives it about 0%.