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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 804d | Biden nominated by August 7? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,278 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 804d | Biden nominated by August 7? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,270 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 804d | Biden nominated by August 7? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,427 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 804d | Biden nominated by August 7? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,220 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 814d | Biden nominated by August 7? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | −$16 −1.0% | — | |
| 817d | Biden nominated by August 7? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | −$16 −0.8% | — | |
| 817d | Biden nominated by August 7? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,408 | −$21 −0.6% | — | |
| 817d | Biden nominated by August 7? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | −$7 −0.6% | — | |
| 821d | Biden nominated by August 7? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$415 +41% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is formally nominated by the Democratic National Committee as the Democratic presidential candidate by August 7, 2024 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official announcements from the Democratic National Committee, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.