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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 836d |  RockyZet | Biden senile during the debate? | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$1,226 −104% | — |
| 836d |  truthteller | Biden senile during the debate? | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | −$1,246 −104% | — |
| 836d | lollololol2 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $12,941 | −$13,216 −102% | — |
| 836d |  BarronTrump123 | Biden senile during the debate? | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | — |
| 836d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Biden senile during the debate? | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | — |
| 837d |  scottilicious4 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $20,741 | −$21,372 −103% | — |
| 837d | 22002200 | Biden senile during the debate? | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $5,535 | −$5,557 −100% | — |
| 837d |  aenews25 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $11,252 | +$5,257 +47% | 12 |
| 837d | hspected2 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | SellNo48¢ → 100¢ | $4,431 | −$4,865 −110% | — |
| 838d |  Thong | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$1,421 +71% | 4 |
| 838d |  MarekyMarek | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | +$1,401 +71% | 4 |
| 838d |  mcduck | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $3,156 | +$1,707 +54% | 4 |
| 839d | CUTNPASTE2 | Biden senile during the debate? | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | −$1,010 −98% | — |
| 839d | CUTNPASTE22 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,521 | +$570 +23% | 4 |
| 839d |  Chrome | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | +$2,060 +150% | 5 |
| 839d | big6big8 | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | +$970 +69% | 4 |
| 839d | Stilp01 | Biden senile during the debate? | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | −$1,218 −99% | — |
| 839d | OracleMachine | Biden senile during the debate? | SellNo52¢ → 100¢ | $3,526 | −$3,302 −94% | — |
| 839d |  Squee | Biden senile during the debate? | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | −$3,197 −163% | — |
| 839d |  50Whence | Biden senile during the debate? | SellYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | −$3,412 −202% | — |
| 839d | scottilicious11 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $32,990 | +$4,171 +13% | 4 |
| 840d | ejgejg | Biden senile during the debate? | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $7,006 | −$4,625 −66% | — |
| 840d | 0x31a7 | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | +$504 +25% | 4 |
| 840d | Coleen | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | +$460 +24% | 4 |
| 841d | Mrben2 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | SellYes22¢ → 100¢ | $5,604 | −$19,984 −357% | — |
| 841d | aenews2 | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyYes27¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | +$4,407 +273% | 6 |
| 841d |  BigMike11 | Biden senile during the debate? | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$435 −41% | — |
| 841d | hspected2 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$1,296 +16% | 4 |
| 841d | ejgejg2 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,889 | +$1,191 +41% | 4 |
| 841d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Biden senile during the debate? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,665 | −$552 −33% | — |
| 841d | Mrben2 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $4,572 | +$11,825 +259% | 10 |
| 841d | OracleMachine3 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,735 | +$883 +19% | 4 |
| 841d | junkbonds | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,704 | +$710 +26% | 4 |
| 841d | 50Whence3 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $5,280 | +$7,288 +138% | 7 |
| 841d | Chad-Wasp3 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,661 | +$338 +6.0% | 5 |
| 841d |  Car | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$148 +11% | 4 |
| 841d | aenews22 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $11,091 | −$4,753 −43% | — |
| 841d | lollololol2 fills | Biden senile during the debate? | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$5,380 +134% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden exhibits clear signs of senility consistently throughout the Presidential debate scheduled for June 27, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Isolated gaffes or occasional moments of confusion will not qualify. Clear signs of senility include but are not limited to persistent incoherence, confusion, inability to follow the debate format, or prolonged periods of non-responsiveness. For example if this market were about Biden's 2024 State of the Union Address, it would resolve to "No." The resolution source will be video footage of the debate. No updates or clarifications will be made to this market's rules.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.