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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 13 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 20 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 27 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 3 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 8 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 9 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220d |  ArmageddonRewardsBillyBoy2 fills | March 8 | SellYes>99¢ | $52,176 | −$52 −0.1% | — |
| 220d | Alarmed-Riser | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 220d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $84,924 | −$85 −0.1% | — |
| 220d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b046 fills | March 8 | SellYes>99¢ | $165,051 | −$165 −0.1% | — |
| 220d |  Xeny | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,065 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 220d | Xeny | March 8 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,358 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 220d |  PrincessGlinda | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,821 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 220d |  ThePortrait | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,074 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | ArmageddonRewardsBillyBoy | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,368 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b045 fills | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,028 | +$40 +0.3% | 20 |
| 222d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b043 fills | March 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,478 | +$23 +0.1% | 20 |
| 222d |  Nik- | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,011 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 222d |  bamesjond3 fills | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $16,545 | −$31 −0.2% | — |
| 222d |  JaidenAnimations | March 8 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,637 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | bamesjond2 fills | March 8 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,199 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 223d | bamesjond4 fills | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,541 | +$37 +0.3% | 20 |
| 223d | bamesjond | March 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,004 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 223d | bamesjond | March 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,105 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 223d | Nik- | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,992 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 223d | Xeny | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,063 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 223d | PrincessGlinda2 fills | March 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,802 | +$23 +0.6% | 20 |
| 223d | lichenglicheng | March 9 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,029 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 223d | droopyal | March 9 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,957 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 223d | kkdsj3 fills | March 9 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,060 | −$96 −0.9% | — |
| 223d | SuperbowlorBust2 fills | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,898 | +$18 +0.2% | 20 |
| 223d | droopyal | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,105 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 223d | kkdsj | March 8 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,804 | −$24 −0.9% | — |
| 223d | kkdsj | March 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,790 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 223d | Trustworthy-Uniformity | March 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,098 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 223d | bamesjond | April 3 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,491 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 223d |  isWaterWet | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,088 | −$13 −0.4% | — |
| 223d | SuperbowlorBust | March 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,291 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 223d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | March 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,107 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 223d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | March 27 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,099 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 223d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | April 3 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 223d |  JJo | April 3 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,172 | +$35 +0.3% | 20 |
| 223d | bamesjond3 fills | April 3 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,549 | +$44 +0.4% | 20 |
| 223d | ThePortrait | April 3 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,870 | +$130 +0.7% | 20 |
| 223d | JaidenAnimations | March 8 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,604 | +$41 +0.5% | 20 |
| 223d | bamesjond | March 8 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,053 | +$19 +0.6% | 20 |
| 223d |  baoyu23 | March 13 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,514 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 223d |  ProfitMuhammedPBUH3 fills | March 9 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $8,669 | +$933 +11% | 20 |
| 223d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | March 8 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$29 +2.0% | 20 |
| 223d | chaosj88 | March 20 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 223d | apple-pi | March 8 | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,243 | −$1,243 −100% | 21 |
| 223d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | March 13 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$13 +1.2% | 20 |
| 223d | isWaterWet | March 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,763 | +$19 +1.1% | 20 |
| 223d | isWaterWet | March 8 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$30 +2.7% | 20 |
| 223d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | March 20 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,663 | +$306 +18% | 20 |
| 223d |  tunatyler | March 13 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$600 +43% | 20 |
| 223d | ArmageddonRewardsBillyBoy5 fills | March 8 | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $13,286 | +$14,983 +113% | 21 |
| 223d | bigai | March 8 | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $8,857 | −$8,857 −100% | 20 |
| 224d |  occasionalAwareness | March 8 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,091 | −$1,091 −100% | 20 |
| 224d |  TulipoIIl | March 8 | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,041 | −$1,041 −100% | 20 |
| 224d |  AppleR | March 8 | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,219 | −$1,219 −100% | 20 |
Kokohakgoat169 shares
donenergy164 shares
bjprolo120 shares
fairtea114 shares
wendypeekaboo100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini are not the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 13 means the market gives it about 100%.