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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 20 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212d |  ProfitMuhammedPBUH2 fills | March 20 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,684 | +$61 +1.3% | 20 |
| 212d | chaosj88 | March 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$100 +2.0% | 20 |
| 212d | calvinhobbes123 | March 20 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,105 | +$44 +2.1% | 20 |
| 212d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | March 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,881 | +$75 +2.6% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini are not the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no listed AI app is the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 100%.