Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199d |  beenraping5 fills | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,632 | +$47 +0.4% | 2 |
| 199d | leyibaby | BitBoy convicted? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,101 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 199d |  lranon2nd | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,413 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 199d | qwe258 | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 199d | bigricke | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,357 | +$35 +0.8% | 2 |
| 199d | Identical-Schooner | BitBoy convicted? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | −$65 −4.4% | — |
| 199d | 0xb077…74d3 | BitBoy convicted? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,498 | −$262 −5.8% | — |
| 199d |  yen4u2 fills | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,436 | +$277 +11% | 2 |
| 199d |  GrokEnjoyer | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,901 | +$87 +4.6% | 2 |
| 199d | Gooble2 fills | BitBoy convicted? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $22,586 | −$7,246 −32% | — |
| 199d | Arman2 | BitBoy convicted? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,135 | −$121 −5.7% | — |
| 199d |  bamesjond3 fills | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,908 | +$781 +9.9% | 2 |
| 199d |  DOJ | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$561 +20% | 2 |
| 199d |  pup1 | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$576 +47% | 2 |
| 199d |  SheepToken | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$1,162 +108% | 2 |
| 200d | pup1 | BitBoy convicted? | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | −$1,022 −100% | 2 |
| 200d | DOJ | BitBoy convicted? | SellYes76¢ → 0¢ | $4,485 | +$4,485 +100% | — |
| 200d | SheepToken | BitBoy convicted? | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $1,567 | −$1,567 −100% | 3 |
| 200d | 0x9cff…3abd | BitBoy convicted? | SellYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,963 | +$1,963 +100% | — |
| 200d | bobai | BitBoy convicted? | SellYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,366 | +$1,366 +100% | — |
| 200d | drizzl | BitBoy convicted? | SellYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,160 | +$1,160 +100% | — |
| 200d | randommandem404 | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo28¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$2,706 +251% | 5 |
| 200d |  Iax | BitBoy convicted? | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,097 | −$1,097 −100% | 4 |
| 200d | Gooble4 fills | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo37¢ → 100¢ | $8,113 | +$13,537 +167% | 7 |
| 200d |  SingletonFamilyFund | BitBoy convicted? | SellYes63¢ → 0¢ | $2,792 | +$2,792 +100% | — |
| 200d |  aenews2 | BitBoy convicted? | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,406 | −$1,406 −100% | 4 |
| 200d | 0x08386B9FCFfe893341Fa02D45d258154Ede | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$621 +55% | 4 |
| 200d | aenews2 | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$641 +49% | 4 |
| 200d | stinkbidbot | BitBoy convicted? | SellYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | +$1,012 +100% | — |
| 200d | Arman2 | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | +$881 +67% | 4 |
| 200d | SingletonFamilyFund | BitBoy convicted? | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | −$1,005 −100% | 4 |
| 200d | OnChainCassandra2 fills | BitBoy convicted? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $5,235 | −$815 −16% | — |
| 200d | 0x46b4…72e9 | BitBoy convicted? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | −$137 −12% | — |
| 203d | dahu15 fills | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,489 | +$771 +10% | 2 |
| 206d |  .ethguy3 fills | BitBoy convicted? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,158 | +$595 +12% | 2 |
BitBoy was recently arrested due to a warrant issued for threatening communications he sent to a Judge. You can read more about that here: https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/22059661159362 This market will resolve to "Yes" if BitBoy (Ben Armstrong) is convicted of any charges related to the emails he sent to Judge Kimberly Childs, by March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Convictions must be for criminal charges. If the case is completely dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation occurs in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". Once an individual is convicted it qualifies for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of later appeals, etc. This market will resolve based on the first conviction in a qualifying case. The primary resolution source will be official court records, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.