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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >122k | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| >120k | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| >116k | 100% | +2 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >118k | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >112k | 100% | +1 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 430d | >122k | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,739 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 430d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >120k | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $11,778 | +$6,308 +54% | 3 |
| 430d | printa | >120k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,621 | +$389 +11% | 3 |
| 430d | 0xa95bfdb3 fills | >120k | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $8,519 | +$3,461 +41% | 4 |
| 430d | >120k | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $4,042 | −$948 −23% | — | |
| 430d | Dell.hefty.4D | >120k | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | −$82 −4.2% | — |
| 430d | petya | >118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,653 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 430d | Thin-Print3 fills | >120k | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $11,848 | +$1,738 +15% | 3 |
| 430d | Thin-Print | >118k | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,884 | −$137 −2.0% | — |
| 430d | 0xb68a…c56816 fills | >122k | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $67,476 | −$33,404 −50% | — |
| 430d | sawasdee | >122k | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,058 | −$998 −33% | — |
| 430d | 0xa95bfdb4 fills | >122k | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $10,794 | +$5,925 +55% | 5 |
| 430d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >122k | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $2,630 | +$2,630 +100% | — |
| 430d | sawasdee2 fills | >122k | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,546 | +$1,014 +40% | 4 |
| 430d | >122k | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $18,579 | +$6,053 +33% | 4 | |
| 430d | >122k | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $2,602 | +$2,602 +100% | — | |
| 430d | >122k | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $10,241 | −$10,241 −100% | 9 | |
| 430d | 0xb68a…c56821 fills | >122k | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $75,424 | +$27,363 +36% | 4 |
| 430d | Thin-Print | >122k | SellNo64¢ → 100¢ | $3,830 | −$2,153 −56% | — |
| 430d | 0xb68a…c568 | >122k | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $2,670 | −$2,670 −100% | 7 |
| 430d | >122k | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $4,727 | +$5,277 +112% | 5 | |
| 430d | 0xb68a…c5686 fills | >120k | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $27,969 | −$2,479 −8.9% | — |
| 430d | observoor | >122k | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $2,450 | +$2,450 +100% | — |
| 430d | 0xa95bfdb3 fills | >122k | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $4,005 | −$4,005 −100% | 10 |
| 430d | 0xb68a…c5685 fills | >118k | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $19,401 | +$1,829 +9.4% | 2 |
| 430d | >120k | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $36,927 | +$14,655 +40% | 4 | |
| 430d | printa | >122k | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | −$162 −12% | — |
| 430d | >120k | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $11,629 | −$11,629 −100% | 3 | |
| 430d | 0xb68a…c5688 fills | >120k | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $25,080 | +$12,383 +49% | 3 |
| 430d | >120k | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,572 | +$2,572 +100% | 4 | |
| 430d | 0xb5fc…5ca45 fills | >120k | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $22,159 | −$22,159 −100% | 3 |
| 430d | 0xb5fc…5ca44 fills | >116k | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,347 | +$281 +4.4% | 2 |
| 430d | printa | >120k | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $3,071 | +$3,071 +100% | — |
| 430d | 0xb5fc…5ca43 fills | >120k | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $8,569 | +$8,569 +100% | — |
| 430d | >112k | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,749 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 430d | Hashbrown2 fills | >116k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,575 | +$125 +0.8% | 2 |
| 430d | Thin-Print2 fills | >118k | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $5,810 | +$777 +13% | 3 |
| 430d | printa | >122k | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,786 | +$244 +14% | 3 |
| 430d | vhanedelrosario | >112k | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,127 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 430d | savagee | >112k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,405 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 430d | 0xb68a…c568 | >112k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,024 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 431d | Thin-Print3 fills | >122k | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $10,510 | +$1,456 +14% | 3 |
| 431d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | >120k | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $9,593 | +$9,593 +100% | — |
| 431d | 0xb5fc…5ca4 | >120k | SellYes28¢ → 100¢ | $2,523 | −$6,487 −257% | — |
| 431d | 0xb5fc…5ca4 | >118k | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,439 | −$1,439 −100% | 5 |
| 431d | >120k | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,278 | −$1,278 −100% | 3 | |
| 431d | 0xb68a…c5685 fills | >120k | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $16,827 | −$16,827 −100% | 2 |
| 431d | GabeOwners | >120k | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$3,200 +178% | 5 |
| 431d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | >118k | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $3,872 | −$3,872 −100% | 4 |
| 431d | completion | >120k | SellYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | −$4,080 −212% | — |
| 431d | completion | >122k | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,476 | +$524 +7.0% | 2 |
| 431d | completion | >120k | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$1,920 +178% | 3 |
| 431d | completion | >120k | SellNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,980 | +$1,980 +100% | — |
| 431d | completion | >120k | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $2,040 | −$2,040 −100% | 3 |
| 431d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | >118k | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $10,639 | −$4,182 −39% | — |
| 432d | iamgone2 fills | >120k | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $3,810 | +$4,211 +111% | 4 |
| 432d | 0xa95bfdb | >116k | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$107 +7.4% | 2 |
| 432d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >116k | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $7,241 | −$1,009 −14% | — |
| 432d | Chalasis | >120k | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$556 +33% | 3 |
| 433d | asdfgo3 fills | >112k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,587 | +$225 +1.3% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for >122k means the market gives it about 0%.