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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 52,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57d | hungrykittens | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,007 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 57d |  abellll | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,600 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | PmDerek2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,662 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | MysticMarauder2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,214 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 57d | Mizukaze | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,065 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d |  GoodLuck68886 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,228 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 57d | portermark | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,175 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | coreyayers | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,101 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | 1881aa2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,837 | +$19 +0.3% | 2 |
| 57d | hopkinsmichael2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,955 | +$28 +0.3% | 2 |
| 57d | 1881aa | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,562 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 57d | PmDerek | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,438 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 57d |  TCBY6688 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,493 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 57d | WanTonMee | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,140 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | 0x0a3b…b8b110 fills | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $22,168 | −$68 −0.3% | — |
| 57d | 0x0a3b…b8b19 fills | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,378 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d |  Facaie | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,153 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 57d |  Tttyh2 fills | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $30,470 | −$31 −0.1% | — |
| 57d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $5,192 | +$2,250 +43% | 3 |
| 57d | shabbysalta4 fills | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $72,447 | +$97 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | Funboyboy | 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,766 | +$34 +0.7% | 2 |
| 57d | shabbysalta | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,870 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | GoodLuck68886 | 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$9 +0.7% | 2 |
| 57d | lan008 | 72,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 57d | lan008 | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,416 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 57d | jytdfhres | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,069 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 57d | jytfkuyi | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,274 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | giuhjhkg | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,071 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d |  soylentgoy | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,400 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 57d | ndjkasn | 72,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | −$21 −1.7% | — |
| 57d |  walnascar | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | averagerandomman | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,111 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 57d | ZZXZZ | 68,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,667 | −$24 −0.7% | — |
| 57d | ZZXZZ | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,486 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 57d | Tttyh2 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $43,824 | +$49 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d |  aketemola | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | Navigator77 | 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,330 | +$54 +1.0% | 2 |
| 57d | UPbet | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,402 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | winwin10086 | 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,609 | +$51 +1.4% | 2 |
| 57d | 0xf705…3ca77 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $17,360 | +$661 +3.8% | 2 |
| 57d | PathLens | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,001 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 57d | Navigator77 | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$22 +0.4% | 2 |
| 57d | 0xa68c…f805 | 72,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | −$56 −4.7% | — |
| 57d | On9Chasiu | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,952 | −$13 −0.4% | — |
| 57d | gdfsgrew | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,332 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 57d | alstromangelobo | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,151 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 57d | MU247 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 57d | Gregarious-Distribution | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,805 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | averagerandomman | 72,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$59 +5.6% | 2 |
| 57d |  balthazar | 72,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$64 +5.6% | 2 |
| 57d | 1881aa | 70,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 57d | 0xf705…3ca75 fills | 70,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,649 | +$364 +6.4% | 2 |
| 57d | atkw | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 57d | magcidwa | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,100 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 57d | Selfish-Administrator | 72,000 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | −$208 −15% | — |
| 57d | Tttyh2 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $38,974 | +$39 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | Tttyh2 fills | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $32,132 | −$32 −0.1% | — |
| 57d | lingke | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | jjjclv6 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | Rust701 | 70,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,845 | −$67 −3.6% | — |
0x45DBCC1a4F9a9b80d21BcBF1D576a055fa1451c15,673 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 72,000 means the market gives it about 100%.