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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 100% | +32 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | — | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280d | Thin-Print | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $16,115 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | S4AI | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,274 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | 0x82d4…b3f0 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,592 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 280d |  x317 | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,922 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | pablosanchez | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | edseah | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,529 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | xninjax | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,253 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 280d |  kboss | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,995 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | Moneyyes | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,445 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | lisenka | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,061 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | Laurenman | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,182 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | pedrosanchez69 | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,888 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | hello.jerry | 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,088 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | hello.jerry | 98,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 280d |  OraculumNobius | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | hello.jerry | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | hello.jerry | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | abkbkgo | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,858 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | phambitious | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,962 | +$31 +0.5% | 2 |
| 280d | juseb299 | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 280d | Dreadfish9920 | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
| 280d | tronis | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,079 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | sujiashen | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,841 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | jojolll | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,102 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | jojolll | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,437 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | fenle | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,048 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | laoliuff | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,046 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | noloainakaila | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,191 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | reuben-11 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,322 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | Alpha4343 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,135 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | PmDerek | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,484 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | Alpha4343 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,863 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 280d | 0x33338cDE2e5d38d1287eBf2b15D1A996 | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 280d | Batulaa | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d |  uncleroger | 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,991 | +$18 +0.6% | 2 |
| 280d | WanTonMee2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,872 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | saikyo666 | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,539 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 280d |  2121212121 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,868 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | Definite-Prostanoid | 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,652 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | PmDerek | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,095 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 280d | PmDerek | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,097 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | PmDerek2 fills | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,987 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | astrarog | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,245 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 280d | astrarog | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,245 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 280d | michics | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$27 +1.4% | 2 |
| 280d | Niudad | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,085 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | Alex77751 | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$47 +2.3% | 2 |
| 280d |  JisaLewin | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,788 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | yoyopm | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,065 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | Niudad | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,517 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | yoyopm | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d |  UwO3 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,341 | +$331 +2.3% | 2 |
| 280d | lanxbaba | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | WanTonMee | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,955 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 280d | leo1 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,218 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | averagerandomman | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,796 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 280d | Thin-Print3 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,787 | +$121 +2.1% | 2 |
| 280d | Thin-Print | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,964 | +$138 +2.3% | 2 |
| 280d | zzzkjMM034 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,504 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | XVFlow | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,783 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
Erka-RoadTo1M45,954 shares
donglai665,222 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 92,000 means the market gives it about 0%.