Marketman10

Polymarket wallet 0x69a5899e3f400113b92630076e5d403aeb991aef · on Polymarket since Jan 9, 2026 · also shown as Actual-Mantua

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$386
Volume traded: $108K
All-time rank: #2,916,775
Markets traded: 195
Recent hit rate: 72%36 of last 50 closed

Open positions

83 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	264	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$62 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	23	77¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	176	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	49	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$32 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?Settled - ready to redeem	Up	3,100	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,171	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	211	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$45 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	27	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	108	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	402	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$196 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	14	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	55	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 11?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	8,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	374	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$141 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	81¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	23	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	47	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$22 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	38	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	177	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$52 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	23	73¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	90	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	915	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$139 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$19 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	193	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$92 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	7	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	22	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	125	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	105	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	198	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$69 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	185	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$89 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	322	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$97 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	361	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$94 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	175	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	157	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$58 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	101	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$44 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	321	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$68 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	337	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$151 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	208	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	174	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$19 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	154	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$95 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	179	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$59 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	227	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$55 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	110	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	117	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$56 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	8	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 5PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	13	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	13	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	64	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	68	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$31 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20,143	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	7	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	57	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	18	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	53	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	26	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	271	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$61 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	36	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	47	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$27 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	21	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	110	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	41	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	245	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$65 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	38,162	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	9	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	22	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	68	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	57	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	44	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 5PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	82	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
273d	Solana Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	SellDown>99¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	SellDown>99¢	$4
273d	Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	SellUp>99¢	$9
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyDown84¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyDown84¢	$1
273d	Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyDown48¢	$1
273d	Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyUp55¢	$1
273d	Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyUp54¢	$1
273d	Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyDown47¢	$1
273d	Solana Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyDown95¢	$1
273d	Solana Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyUp9¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyDown88¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyUp11¢	$1
273d	Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyUp37¢	$1
273d	Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyUp38¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	SellDown63¢	$4
273d	Solana Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	SellUp2¢	$0
273d	Solana Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	SellDown94¢	$5
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	SellUp36¢	$3
273d	Solana Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyDown36¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyDown45¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyDown47¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyUp54¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyDown51¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
273d	Solana Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyDown39¢	$1
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$1
273d	Solana Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET	BuyUp62¢	$1
274d	Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$8
274d	Solana Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	SellDown>99¢	$4
274d	Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	SellDown99¢	$5
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyUp4¢	$1
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyUp15¢	$134
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyUp16¢	$1
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyUp48¢	$1
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyUp48¢	$2
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyUp19¢	$2
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyUp49¢	$2
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$1
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyUp49¢	$1
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyUp49¢	$2
274d	Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyDown42¢	$2
274d	Solana Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyDown68¢	$2
274d	Solana Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	SellUp34¢	$1
274d	Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	SellUp15¢	$9
274d	Solana Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	SellDown63¢	$22
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	SellDown78¢	$108
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	SellUp21¢	$15
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyDown74¢	$1
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyDown65¢	$2
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyDown65¢	$2
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyDown65¢	$1
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyDown66¢	$2
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyDown66¢	$2
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyDown66¢	$2
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyUp13¢	$1
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyUp40¢	$3
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyUp40¢	$3
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET	BuyUp40¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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