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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90,000 | 100% | +87 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +38 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 287d | whitedolphin | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,462 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | phambitious | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,885 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | bruhtradfdddd | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,502 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | 7aper | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,306 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,348 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | Kayn | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | jiojiolu | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,474 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | CryptoCamm | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,045 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | angiex | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,056 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | Animated-Sycamore | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,315 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | Bubbleman | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,205 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | 1337zzz1337 | 90,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 287d | CryptoCamm | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$51 +1.0% | 2 |
| 287d |  moomoomoo2 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,832 | +$168 +2.5% | 2 |
| 287d | jayuan3 | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,727 | +$78 +1.0% | 2 |
| 287d |  black-dog | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 2 |
| 287d |  2121212121 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,519 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | maru-xan | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,964 | +$97 +1.6% | 2 |
| 287d | baleart | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 2 |
| 287d | 0xvanilla | 90,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | +$80 +5.3% | 2 |
| 287d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896619 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $17,337 | +$10,557 +61% | 4 |
| 287d | 0xvanilla | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,248 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | 0xf705…3ca79 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $20,727 | +$33,558 +162% | 11 |
| 287d | 0xf705…3ca76 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $16,593 | −$16,593 −100% | 5 |
| 287d | 0xf705…3ca711 fills | 90,000 | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $39,962 | −$27,298 −68% | — |
| 287d | 0xf705…3ca75 fills | 90,000 | SellNo56¢ → 0¢ | $12,079 | +$12,079 +100% | — |
| 287d | mayabuyaoya | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | jackson1 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,114 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d | jayuan3 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,590 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d | QQai116 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,307 | +$85 +0.3% | 2 |
| 287d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 90,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,114 | +$135 +6.4% | 3 |
| 287d | averagerandomman2 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,724 | +$662 +12% | 3 |
| 287d | CryptoCamm | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,353 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 287d |  Skribbelfan | 90,000 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | −$309 −22% | — |
| 287d | 128376h | 90,000 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | −$267 −25% | — |
| 287d | Niudad5 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,003 | +$28 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d | pablosanchez | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,009 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 287d | lasdkjflkaaff | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,558 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,404 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d | alsonline | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,563 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 287d | siwu2 | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,021 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d |  UwO4 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $59,728 | +$175 +0.3% | 2 |
| 287d | Thin-Print | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,807 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | Thin-Print | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,062 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | 2121212121 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d |  3115221534 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,706 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 287d | AZwater | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d |  dukunmarket2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$43 +1.1% | 2 |
| 287d | giftedbytheforest | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,971 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896614 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $7,355 | −$7,355 −100% | 4 |
| 287d | averagerandomman2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,451 | +$367 +4.9% | 2 |
| 287d | averagerandomman2 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $6,411 | −$6,411 −100% | 3 |
| 287d | alsonline | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,954 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 287d | edseah | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,567 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 287d | 21212121212 fills | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,222 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | TooMunchWinning | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,793 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 288d | randomrandomrandom | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,937 | +$84 +1.4% | 2 |
| 288d | PmDerek7 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,111 | +$67 +0.3% | 2 |
| 288d | pedrosanchez69 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 288d | Bulky-Axis | 92,000 | SellNo100¢ | $3,006 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
Fartard15,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 90,000 means the market gives it about 100%.