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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +86 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | +36 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 50,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 52,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108d | Hughhggh7667 | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,681 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 108d | baba14432 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $45,964 | +$86 +0.2% | 2 |
| 108d | SkyLove7 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,396 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 108d | makemoney2025 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,891 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 108d | averagerandomman2 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,214 | +$17 +0.8% | 2 |
| 108d |  abellll | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$38 +1.0% | 2 |
| 108d |  Tolek | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,195 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 108d | easyclap3 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $8,716 | +$5,440 +62% | 3 |
| 108d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $8,160 | +$4,790 +59% | 5 |
| 108d |  Predi | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 108d |  Pierso | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 108d |  Brooklyn-006 | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,146 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 108d |  Fiora | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,308 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 108d |  Zaide | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,513 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 108d | IH2P | 60,000 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$317 +21% | 3 |
| 108d |  Orastino | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 108d |  Veophan | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,008 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 108d |  Isenipa | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,570 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 108d |  Pagener | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,427 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 108d |  Vonnyan | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,625 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 108d | ruyi686 | 60,000 | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,612 | −$388 −24% | — |
| 108d |  VasiliSko4 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,315 | +$33 +0.3% | 2 |
| 108d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | 60,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $10,462 | −$10,462 −100% | 4 |
| 108d | Mizukaze | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,479 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | atkw | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,009 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 108d | detoxification2 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,814 | +$38 +1.0% | 2 |
| 108d |  Leisurely | 58,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,621 | +$18 +1.1% | 2 |
| 108d | 0xDB5 | 58,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 108d |  ZeinST | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,458 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d |  smokyCappuccino | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,956 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 108d | VasiliSko4 fills | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,798 | +$54 +0.4% | 2 |
| 108d | TangS4189 | 56,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 108d |  jakebet2 fills | 60,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $4,774 | −$4,774 −100% | 2 |
| 108d | mulpodsa85 | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,942 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 108d |  Mr.Probability | 60,000 | SellNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,301 | +$1,301 +100% | — |
| 108d | Mr.Probability | 58,000 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,738 | −$684 −25% | — |
| 108d | Nothfail2 fills | 56,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,094 | +$59 +1.4% | 2 |
| 108d | lanxbaba2 fills | 50,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,216 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 108d | Serene-Decision | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,871 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | Isenipa2 fills | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,570 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | Veophan | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,008 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | Fiora | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,260 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | Fiora | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,310 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | Predi | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,379 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | Predi | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 108d | Orastino | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,600 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 108d | Pierso | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 108d | Pierso | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d |  Tttyh | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,078 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | Zaide | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,032 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | Zaide | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,515 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 108d | Brooklyn-006 | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,380 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | Brooklyn-006 | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,145 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 108d |  Korie | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,650 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | Sikebissy2 | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,062 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 108d | Sikebissy2 | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,450 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d |  Hare-211 | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,469 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 108d | Hare-211 | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,125 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 108d | detoxification | 56,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,182 | +$50 +1.6% | 2 |
| 108d | detoxification | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
ELIENMUSK46,265 shares
erevan10,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 62,000 means the market gives it about 0%.