| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 3,460 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $3,249 | +$153 +4.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,907 | 79¢ → 12¢ | $1,254 | −$7,310 −85% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,200 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $1,038 | +$43 +4.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 226d | Yes | 532 | 47¢ → 47¢ | $247 | −$2 −0.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,348 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $182 | −$21 −10% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 67¢ → 85¢ | $85 | +$18 +26% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 100 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $49 | −$2 −3.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 150 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$111 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 99 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 49 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,401 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 900 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$873 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,096 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 77 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 80 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 198 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$142 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 77 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 60 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$86 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,980 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,878 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 222 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$155 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 147 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$480 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 349 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$259 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 428 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$308 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 39 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,585 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,400 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$214 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4,000 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,860 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 70 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 488 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$252 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 698 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$661 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$933 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 120 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 198 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 70 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 96 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 518 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$439 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 987 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$926 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,100 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$611 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 70 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 225 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 49 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 230 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$109 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 70 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 120 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 99 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,700 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,292 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 300 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$247 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 98 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 400 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 68 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 299 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$113 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$970 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,399 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,375 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 184 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 249 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 690 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$313 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,100 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$934 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 900 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$855 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 67 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,740 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 140 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
