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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64,000 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,747 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 87d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 87d | j5673 | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 87d | nearping | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 87d | averagerandomman13 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,985 | +$77 +0.2% | 2 |
| 87d | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,234 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 87d | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,249 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 87d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 87d | Paul973973 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 87d | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,156 | +$57 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 87d | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,853 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 87d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,500 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 87d | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,221 | +$38 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 87d | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,427 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 87d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 87d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,363 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 87d | onlyhit | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,211 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 87d | noloainakaila | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,855 | +$23 +0.8% | 2 |
| 87d | lowguard | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,812 | +$23 +0.6% | 2 |
| 87d | lowguard | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,813 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 87d | 66,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $9,826 | +$838 +8.5% | 3 | |
| 87d | Timely-Expansionism | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 88d | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,703 | +$94 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 88d | 1881aa | 66,000 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | −$91 −7.2% | — |
| 88d | hungrykittens | 66,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,220 | +$95 +3.0% | 2 |
| 88d | hungrykittens | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,234 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 88d | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,260 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 88d | 68,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,517 | −$77 −3.0% | — | |
| 88d | WanTonMee2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,048 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 88d | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,986 | −$14 −0.1% | — | |
| 88d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,932 | +$60 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 88d | Mizukaze | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,085 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 88d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,144 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 88d | Incognitoo4 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,767 | +$87 +1.5% | 2 |
| 88d | anon.1980.123 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,791 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 88d | Incognitoo | 68,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,762 | −$43 −2.4% | — |
| 88d | TangS4189 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,237 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 88d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 88d | jytfkuyi | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,245 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 88d | jytdfhres | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,044 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 88d | rtuh56 | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,025 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 88d | giuhjhkg | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,044 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 88d | lowguard | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,984 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 88d | easypredict2 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,891 | +$763 +26% | 4 |
| 88d | 1881aa2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,411 | +$18 +0.7% | 2 |
| 88d | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,353 | +$47 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 88d | TwilightTryst | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,362 | +$26 +1.1% | 2 |
| 88d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,449 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 88d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,593 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 88d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,544 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 88d | 0x4773…2289 | 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,601 | +$34 +2.1% | 2 |
| 88d | anon.1980.123 | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,027 | +$82 +1.0% | 2 |
| 88d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,094 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 88d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,242 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 88d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,474 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 88d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,410 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 88d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,115 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 88d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,341 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 88d | onlyhit | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,831 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 88d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 64,000 means the market gives it about 100%.