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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +10 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −32 pts | −78 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | — | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148d | suntori | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,231 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | finescriptograficos | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,814 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 149d |  Tudorpopirl | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,198 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | 12808f07 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,016 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | trading123682 fills | 78,000 | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $4,509 | −$1,610 −36% | — |
| 149d | kntlll | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,185 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | Dense-Muscat | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,232 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | PmDerek | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,819 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | PmDerek | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,338 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 149d |  FXC | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,731 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 149d | Outrageous-Table7 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,208 | +$192 +2.3% | 2 |
| 149d | Go-big-or-go-home | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,494 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 149d | BunCaCham | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,771 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | WCWS | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | anon.1980.123 | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,035 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 149d |  VasiliSko7 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,289 | +$90 +0.7% | 2 |
| 149d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,410 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | VasiliSko3 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,954 | +$65 +0.5% | 2 |
| 149d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,422 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | noloainakaila | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 149d | VasiliSko | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,576 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | 3RCGoonguy | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 149d | Nothfail2 fills | 78,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,757 | −$23 −0.6% | — |
| 149d | AnonymousPerson3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,998 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | GoingGangrene | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,357 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d |  Tttyh5 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,952 | +$26 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d |  ZeinST3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $59,940 | +$60 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | jidong9808 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d |  FraterTetractous2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,955 | +$18 +0.5% | 2 |
| 149d | SkyLove7 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,092 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | 2024 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,991 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | On9Chasiu | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,557 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | VasiliSko7 fills | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $28,584 | −$29 −0.1% | — |
| 149d |  Nero.zt | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,518 | +$11 +0.7% | 2 |
| 149d | Rust701 | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,034 | −$63 −1.3% | — |
| 149d | Outrageous-Table10 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,976 | +$24 +0.2% | 2 |
| 149d | Mizukaze | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,130 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 149d | tomccy | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,648 | +$27 +1.0% | 2 |
| 149d | Cylindrical-Sponge | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,225 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d |  Zeta8000 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,347 | +$36 +1.5% | 2 |
| 149d |  lasiweijiasi | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 149d | bhkMarvin | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,842 | +$59 +1.5% | 2 |
| 149d | Outrageous-Table3 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,504 | +$96 +2.7% | 2 |
| 149d | Tttyh4 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,106 | −$21 −0.2% | — |
| 149d | Nothfail2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,947 | +$53 +1.1% | 2 |
| 149d | edseah | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,800 | +$69 +1.0% | 2 |
| 149d | Incognitoo | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 149d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,017 | +$301 +2.7% | 2 |
| 149d | Mizukaze | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,987 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d |  kAraBoga8964 | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$40 +2.4% | 2 |
| 149d |  velvetdaisies | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,519 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | Tudorpopirl | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$24 +2.0% | 2 |
| 149d | Tudorpopirl | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,177 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | dex53 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,386 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | Tttyh2 fills | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,154 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | qlclarence | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,277 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 149d | Timely-Expansionism | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$26 +2.1% | 2 |
| 149d | Unwelcome-Wrap2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $203,904 | +$204 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,400 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 149d | testtesttesttesttest000 | 76,000 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,544 | −$456 −8.2% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 74,000 means the market gives it about 100%.