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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120,000 | 0% | −7 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 100% | +63 pts | +94 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 100% | +19 pts | +87 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +76 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | — | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380d |  chefbased8 | 118,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,341 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 380d | Fixmo | 120,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 380d |  noreasapa | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,250 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 380d | Xgs | 122,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,639 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 380d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 120,000 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$405 +36% | 4 |
| 380d | prayer2008 | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,040 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d |  VinnyViral | 120,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,119 | +$401 +13% | 3 |
| 380d | nonkenny90 | 122,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,672 | +$19 +1.1% | 2 |
| 380d |  winner123 | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,175 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 380d | lupring | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | wangyiting1414 | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | senyan | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,123 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | namgungminsu | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,289 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 380d | kingofcoinflips | 120,000 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,809 | +$736 +41% | 4 |
| 380d | aadvark | 118,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,236 | −$1,236 −100% | 4 |
| 381d |  mrmrmrmr | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,065 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 381d |  HowToBasic | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 381d | ssqs | 114,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,865 | +$135 +2.8% | 2 |
| 381d | WCBT | 118,000 | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$1,942 +183% | 3 |
| 381d | wangyiting1414 | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,128 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 381d | froguser | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,175 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 381d | RothschildVIII | 114,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$113 +8.7% | 2 |
| 381d | petya | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,159 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 118,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,553 | −$1,553 −100% | 2 |
| 382d | bc1234 | 112,000 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,030 | +$989 +25% | 3 |
| 382d | doit100 | 112,000 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,522 | −$380 −25% | — |
| 383d |  stackinbit | 116,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 3 |
| 383d | stackinbit | 110,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,859 | +$141 +7.6% | 2 |
| 383d |  brockthebaby | 118,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $3,821 | −$3,821 −100% | 2 |
| 383d | brockthebaby4 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $7,762 | +$5,571 +72% | 3 |
| 383d | brockthebaby2 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $6,296 | +$1,683 +27% | 2 |
| 383d | brockthebaby | 116,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $3,592 | −$3,592 −100% | 2 |
| 383d | brockthebaby2 fills | 112,000 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $3,920 | −$3,920 −100% | 3 |
| 383d | brockthebaby | 114,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $3,010 | −$3,010 −100% | 2 |
| 383d | easyclap | 114,000 | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$2,394 +212% | 3 |
| 383d | brockthebaby | 114,000 | BuyYes29¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$2,812 +245% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 120,000 means the market gives it about 0%.