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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +14 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,646 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 13d | TangS4189 | 86,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,775 | −$39 −2.2% | — |
| 13d | TangS4189 | 86,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,292 | +$52 +2.3% | 2 |
| 13d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,001 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 13d | SkyLove7 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,630 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 13d | detoxification | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | detoxification | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 13d | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,593 | +$64 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 13d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,328 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 13d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 13d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,795 | +$451 +9.4% | 2 |
| 13d | YautjaPM2 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,997 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 13d | Navigator77 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,050 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 13d | carmouchevernony | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 13d | PmDerek | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,819 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | PmDerek | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,535 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | PmDerek | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,531 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | TangS41892 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,144 | +$21 +0.7% | 2 |
| 13d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,529 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 13d | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 13d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 13d | TangS4189 | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,843 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 13d | Wont-u-sing-w-me | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,798 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 |
| 13d | Rust701 | 84,000 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$111 −11% | — |
| 13d | Gregarious-Distribution | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,927 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 13d | shabbysalta2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $46,290 | +$46 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,009 | +$41 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 13d | Rust701 | 84,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$151 +15% | 3 |
| 13d | DiversifiedBS | 84,000 | BuyNo16¢ → 0¢ | $1,101 | −$1,101 −100% | 5 |
| 13d | xiaojido202 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | venezuelain | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 13d | niuniuhgir | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | miyugyiftu66 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,298 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $103,896 | +$104 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 13d | PmDerek2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,531 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | PmDerek | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,893 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | TangS4189 | 88,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,381 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 14d | frankzhao | 88,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,065 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 14d | nearping | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | 84,000 | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $4,111 | −$4,111 −100% | 8 | |
| 15d | yiba2 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,842 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 18d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,903 | +$127 +4.4% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 74,000 means the market gives it about 100%.