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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124,000 | 100% | +68 pts | +97 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 100% | +31 pts | +94 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 100% | +8 pts | +89 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +79 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | — | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | — | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376d | 22323 | 120,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,710 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 376d | 22323 | 122,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 376d | 22323 | 124,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,515 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 376d | fook | 124,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,760 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 376d | averagerandomman2 fills | 120,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,165 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 376d | rwo | 122,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,180 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d | easyclap4 fills | 124,000 | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $5,643 | +$3,380 +60% | 3 |
| 376d | affs20791 | 124,000 | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | −$335 −29% | — |
| 376d | rwo | 120,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,219 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d | prayer2008 | 122,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,051 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 376d | wuyunru1508 | 120,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,465 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d | Pricey-Spleen | 124,000 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,702 | −$491 −18% | — |
| 376d | easyclap6 fills | 124,000 | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $11,657 | −$11,657 −100% | 8 |
| 376d | letmecookItalian | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,014 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d | rwo | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,367 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 |
| 376d | ginee | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,862 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 376d | 22323 | 124,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,935 | +$1,085 +37% | 4 |
| 376d |  HowToBasic2 fills | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,000 | +$36 +0.2% | 2 |
| 376d | nonkenny90 | 120,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 376d | gasking | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,018 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 376d | loolin | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,006 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 376d | senyan | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,159 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 376d |  borabora-836 | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,431 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d |  stackinbit | 120,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,881 | −$126 −2.6% | — |
| 376d | shibmusk | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,037 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 376d | shreksy | 122,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,290 | −$229 −10% | — |
| 376d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c205 fills | 124,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $7,607 | −$7,607 −100% | 3 |
| 376d | Momentumtrades | 124,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $3,314 | +$2,926 +88% | 4 |
| 376d | jaradox | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,953 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d |  Loki11 | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,035 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 377d |  Loser-Boy2 fills | 124,000 | SellNo55¢ → 0¢ | $2,157 | +$2,157 +100% | — |
| 377d | Pricey-Spleen | 122,000 | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$325 −29% | — |
| 377d | namgungminsu | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,292 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 377d |  SappySeal672 fills | 124,000 | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $4,246 | −$4,246 −100% | 4 |
| 377d | ivanliew852 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,552 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d |  Miffffy | 122,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,215 | +$505 +16% | 3 |
| 377d | Loser-Boy | 124,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,551 | −$1,551 −100% | 4 |
| 377d | easypredict | 122,000 | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,283 | −$1,283 −100% | 5 |
| 377d | 22323 | 120,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $7,847 | +$872 +11% | 3 |
| 377d | Pricey-Spleen | 122,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$385 +37% | 4 |
| 377d |  Debosnys | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 377d | MACandCHEESE | 124,000 | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $3,019 | −$1,731 −57% | — |
| 377d | MACandCHEESE | 122,000 | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,588 | −$412 −16% | — |
| 377d | aadvark | 124,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$604 +42% | 3 |
| 377d | stackinbit | 120,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,706 | +$300 +6.4% | 2 |
| 377d | stackinbit | 124,000 | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $4,706 | +$4,706 +100% | — |
| 378d | tanner11172 fills | 120,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,755 | +$145 +5.3% | 2 |
| 378d | easypredict | 122,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$427 +42% | 3 |
| 378d | kingofcoinflips | 120,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,732 | +$468 +9.9% | 2 |
| 378d | petya | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,996 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | amused85 | 120,000 | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,397 | −$1,397 −100% | 5 |
| 378d | amused85 | 124,000 | BuyYes18¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$5,099 +443% | 4 |
| 378d |  BuckMySalls | 122,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $2,650 | +$2,350 +89% | 3 |
| 379d | MACandCHEESE | 124,000 | BuyYes26¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$3,683 +280% | 4 |
| 379d | aadvark | 118,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$76 +6.4% | 2 |
| 379d | MACandCHEESE | 122,000 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | +$1,268 +73% | 3 |
| 379d | aadvark | 124,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,036 | −$1,036 −100% | 3 |
| 379d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c204 fills | 122,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $8,288 | −$8,288 −100% | 3 |
| 379d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c203 fills | 120,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $4,719 | +$1,588 +34% | 2 |
| 379d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 124,000 | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$1,902 +173% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 124,000 means the market gives it about 100%.