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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 124,000 | 0% | −74 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | −95 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | — | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 374d | 1milformenow | 122,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,031 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 374d |  Fallout2 | 122,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,039 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 374d | MacAdam | 120,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 374d | 77Win | 124,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,197 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 374d | lamalamalama | 120,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 374d | iamgone | 120,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,966 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | babo959 | 120,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,943 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d |  PolBenson | 122,000 | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$929 +88% | 5 |
| 375d |  prescient | 120,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,264 | −$48 −0.7% | — |
| 375d | dragonscipher | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,423 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | iamgone | 124,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,880 | +$120 +1.5% | 2 |
| 375d | affs207912 fills | 124,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,657 | +$344 +13% | 3 |
| 375d | bitcoinpaws | 120,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,300 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 375d | cryptovulp | 122,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 2 |
| 375d | 22323 | 124,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $2,582 | −$2,582 −100% | 4 |
| 375d | easyclap | 124,000 | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$2,035 +137% | 5 |
| 375d | rwo3 fills | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,477 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | rwo | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,033 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | rwo | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,736 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | easyclap2 fills | 124,000 | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $2,922 | −$2,922 −100% | 5 |
| 375d | skaktarulhaque | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,076 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | dinhanzhen1569 | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,369 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | affs20791 | 122,000 | SellYes88¢ → 0¢ | $2,373 | +$2,373 +100% | — |
| 375d | senyan | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,161 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d |  stackinbit | 120,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
| 375d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 124,000 | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$2,100 +150% | 5 |
| 375d | ivanliew85 | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,470 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | lumuzhong1525 | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,569 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | lumuzhong1525 | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | prescient | 120,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,299 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 375d | shibmusk | 120,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,039 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 375d | AZwater | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,612 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | Nancy2230 fills | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $262,394 | −$1,097 −0.4% | — |
| 375d | James002229 fills | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $261,320 | −$1,080 −0.4% | — |
| 376d | affs20791 | 122,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,395 | −$1,395 −100% | 2 |
| 376d | wuyunru1508 | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,563 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 376d | 223232 fills | 122,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $7,970 | −$7,970 −100% | 2 |
| 376d | nonkenny90 | 120,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,155 | +$67 +3.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 108,000 means the market gives it about 100%.